印度尼西亚-伊斯兰会议组织国家自由贸易协定对清真食品行业的影响:CGE 分析

IF 4.3 3区 材料科学 Q1 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC
Masruri Muchtar, Ahmad Rodoni, Euis Amalia, T. Warninda
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目的 本研究旨在分析印度尼西亚与伊斯兰合作组织(OIC)国家通过取消清真食品行业的进口关税而达成的自由贸易协定(FTA)对福利、国内生产总值(GDP)和贸易平衡的潜在影响。伊斯兰合作组织国家作为仅次于联合国的第二大组织,是清真食品行业的潜在市场。 本研究使用全球贸易分析项目数据库第 10 版,采用可计算的一般均衡(CGE)模型对两种情景进行分析。第一种情景是印尼应与作为出口目的地的十个潜在伊斯兰会议组织国家签订自贸协定,第二种情景是印尼应与所有伊斯兰会议组织国家签订自贸协定。方案 2 显示,印尼的实际 GDP 变化更大,正变化为 0.0018%。尽管在这两种情况下,印尼的贸易平衡都将出现盈余,但预计印尼的清真食品出口将出现下降。研究的局限性/影响本研究的局限性在于现有数据无法描述所有伊斯兰会议组织国家的人口。在总共 56 个伊斯兰会议组织国家中,只有 31 个国家可用于研究。研究范围仅限于分析印尼与伊斯兰会议组织国家之间以取消进口关税为形式的自由贸易协定,不包括清真认证等非关税壁垒问题。然而,印尼政府仍需在因经济一体化而蒙受损失的各个领域做出一些缓解努力,如创造更有利的商业环境、支持资本来源、便利官僚事务以及提供税收优惠等。 本文通过优化降低伊斯兰会议组织国家的进口关税,重点关注自贸协定对清真食品行业影响的关键方面,为相关文献做出了贡献。与以往研究不同的是,本研究采用静态 CGE 模型来研究自由贸易协定对宏观经济指标的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The impact of the Indonesia–OIC countries’ free trade agreement on the halal food sector: CGE analysis
Purpose This study aims to analyse the potential impacts of free trade agreement (FTA) between Indonesia and Organisation of Islamic Cooperation (OIC) countries by eliminating import tariffs in the halal food sector on welfare, gross domestic product (GDP) and trade balance. OIC countries as the second-largest organisation after the United Nations are the potential markets for the halal food industry. Design/methodology/approach This study used the Global Trade Analysis Project database version 10 by adopting a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model for two scenarios. The first scenario stated that Indonesia should conduct an FTA with ten potential OIC countries as export destination, while the second one stated that it should be conducted with all OIC countries. Findings Indonesia is predicted to get the highest increase in welfare by making an FTA with all OIC countries. Scenario 2 showed that Indonesia had much higher changes in real GDP with a positive change of 0.0018%. Even though it is projected to experience a surplus in the trade balance in both scenarios, Indonesia is predicted to experience a decline in exports for the particular halal food sector. The findings contribute some new insights to the existing literature, revealing an alignment between economic integration and the concept of international trade in Islam. Research limitations/implications The limitation of this study is the available data that cannot describe the population of all OIC countries. Only 31 countries out of a total of 56 OIC countries can be used in research. The scope of research is limited to analysing FTAs between Indonesia and OIC countries in the form of abolishing import tariffs and does not include non-tariff barrier issues such as halal certification. Practical implications The preferential trade agreement is considered relevant as Indonesia’s initial commitment to conduct a bilateral trade with ten selected OIC countries. The Indonesia Government, however, still needs to make several mitigation efforts in various sectors experiencing losses as a result of economic integration, such as by creating a more conducive business climate, supporting the sources of capital, facilitating bureaucratic affairs, as well as providing tax incentives. Originality/value This paper contributes to the literature by focusing on the critical aspects of the FTA’s impacts on halal food sectors by optimizing the reduction of import tariffs of OIC countries. Different from previous studies, this study applied a static CGE model to examine the impacts of FTA on macroeconomic indicators.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
7.20
自引率
4.30%
发文量
567
期刊介绍: ACS Applied Electronic Materials is an interdisciplinary journal publishing original research covering all aspects of electronic materials. The journal is devoted to reports of new and original experimental and theoretical research of an applied nature that integrate knowledge in the areas of materials science, engineering, optics, physics, and chemistry into important applications of electronic materials. Sample research topics that span the journal's scope are inorganic, organic, ionic and polymeric materials with properties that include conducting, semiconducting, superconducting, insulating, dielectric, magnetic, optoelectronic, piezoelectric, ferroelectric and thermoelectric. Indexed/​Abstracted: Web of Science SCIE Scopus CAS INSPEC Portico
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