德里自行车死亡事故及其风险因素。

IF 2.3 4区 医学 Q2 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH
Srishti Agrawal, Sumit Bilam, Geetam Tiwari, Rahul Goel
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目前缺乏对中低收入国家骑自行车风险因素的研究。我们介绍了印度德里三年内(2016-2018 年)至少有一名骑自行车者死亡的碰撞事故的描述性流行病学。接下来,我们采用非匹配病例对照的方法来识别导致自行车死亡事故的道路设计风险因素。病例为至少发生过一起自行车死亡事故的路段,对照为未发生过自行车死亡事故的路段。我们建立了以病例和对照为二元结果的逻辑回归模型,以估算场地特征的几率比例。在研究期间,共有 167 起车祸涉及至少一名骑自行车者死亡。死亡的骑车者几乎都是男性。与一般人群相比,他们不太可能是儿童或年轻成年人,也不太可能是高收入地区的居民。每 10 起车祸中就有 1 起涉及不止一名骑车者,5% 的致命受害者是骑车者。70%的撞车事故发生在街区中段,大多数是后端碰撞。回归结果表明,道路宽度、车速和重型车辆的数量对骑自行车者的死亡风险有很大的正面影响。这些结果可以为设计自行车安全干预措施提供参考。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Cycle fatalities in Delhi and their risk factors.

There is a lack of research that investigates the risk factors of cycling in low- and middle-income countries. We present descriptive epidemiology of crashes that involved at least one fatal cyclist, over a three-year period (2016-2018) in Delhi, India. Next, we used an unmatched case-control approach to identify road design risk factors of cycle fatalities. Cases were road segments with at least one cycle fatality, and controls were those with none. We developed logistic regression models with cases and controls as binary outcomes to estimate the odds ratio of site characteristics. There were 167 crashes involving at least one cyclist fatality over the study period. Fatal cyclists were almost all males. They were less likely to be children or young adults and less likely to be residents of high-income localities, compared to the general population. One in ten crashes included more than one occupant on a cycle and 5% of fatal victims were pillion riders. Seventy percent crashes occurred at midblock, and majority were backend collisions. Regression shows that road width, traffic speed, and volume of heavy vehicles have strong positive effects on the fatality risk of cyclists. These results can inform strategies to design interventions for safety of cyclists.

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来源期刊
International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion
International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH-
CiteScore
4.40
自引率
13.00%
发文量
48
期刊介绍: International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion (formerly Injury Control and Safety Promotion) publishes articles concerning all phases of injury control, including prevention, acute care and rehabilitation. Specifically, this journal will publish articles that for each type of injury: •describe the problem •analyse the causes and risk factors •discuss the design and evaluation of solutions •describe the implementation of effective programs and policies The journal encompasses all causes of fatal and non-fatal injury, including injuries related to: •transport •school and work •home and leisure activities •sport •violence and assault
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