武装冲突对农业生产的影响和机制:布基纳法索恐怖暴力的空间证据

IF 3.4 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY
Wendata A. Kafando, Takeshi Sakurai
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引用次数: 0

摘要

对武装冲突与农业生产之间的联系进行了广泛的研究。然而,对其潜在机制的探索仍然不足。更好地了解这些机制可以揭示冲突引发的粮食和福利短缺的后续影响,并确定有前景的政策干预措施。我们研究了布基纳法索恐怖暴力对家庭农业生产的影响,并探讨了其背后的机制。为此,我们将具有全国代表性的五年期地块和家庭面板数据与空间冲突数据相结合。我们的分析表明,恐怖暴力对农业生产率和总产量产生了显著的负面影响。尽管谷类作物产量减少,但恐怖暴力强度的增加与布基纳法索经济作物产量的增加显著相关,而经济作物所需的投入较少。进一步的调查发现,家庭农业生产率的下降是由于农田数量、土地面积和短期生产投资(包括化肥和杀虫剂)的显著减少。这些研究结果在不同的实证规范和暴力衡量标准下都保持稳健,为面临类似规模武装冲突的政策制定者提供了帮助。例如,确保安全的环境和提供可靠的基本生产投入(如化肥和农药),有助于在暴力期间和之后支持受冲突影响的家庭农业生产。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Effects and mechanisms of armed conflict on agricultural production: Spatial evidence from terrorist violence in Burkina Faso
Extensive studies have been conducted on the link between armed conflict and agricultural production. However, the underlying mechanisms remain underexplored. A better understanding of these mechanisms could unpack the subsequent effects of conflict‐induced food and welfare shortages, as well as identify promising policy interventions. We study the effects of terrorist violence on household agricultural production in Burkina Faso and explore the underlying mechanisms. To achieve this, we combine nationally representative five‐year panel data on plots and households with spatial conflict data. Our analysis reveals negative and significant effects of terrorist violence on agricultural productivity and total output. Despite reducing cereal crop output, increased intensity of terrorist violence is significantly associated with higher production of cash crops, which require fewer inputs in Burkina Faso. Further investigations uncover that the decline in household agricultural productivity results from a significant decrease in the number of farming plots, land size, and short‐term production investments, including chemical fertilisers and pesticides. These findings remain robust across various alternative empirical specifications and measures of violence, offering insights that can help policymakers faced with similarly scaled armed conflict. For instance, ensuring a secure environment and providing reliable access to essential production inputs, such as chemical fertilisers and pesticides, can help support conflict‐affected household agricultural production during and after the violence periods.
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来源期刊
Journal of Agricultural Economics
Journal of Agricultural Economics 管理科学-农业经济与政策
CiteScore
7.90
自引率
2.90%
发文量
48
审稿时长
>24 weeks
期刊介绍: Published on behalf of the Agricultural Economics Society, the Journal of Agricultural Economics is a leading international professional journal, providing a forum for research into agricultural economics and related disciplines such as statistics, marketing, business management, politics, history and sociology, and their application to issues in the agricultural, food, and related industries; rural communities, and the environment. Each issue of the JAE contains articles, notes and book reviews as well as information relating to the Agricultural Economics Society. Published 3 times a year, it is received by members and institutional subscribers in 69 countries. With contributions from leading international scholars, the JAE is a leading citation for agricultural economics and policy. Published articles either deal with new developments in research and methods of analysis, or apply existing methods and techniques to new problems and situations which are of general interest to the Journal’s international readership.
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