COVID-19 期间葡萄牙的流行病情报威胁报告概况:两年来非 COVID-19 威胁报告有所减少

Q3 Medicine
V. Ricoca Peixoto, Berta Grau-Pujol, Matilde Ourique, Renato Lourenço da Silva, Mariana Ferreira, Ana Firme, Alexis Sentís, Paula Vasconcelos
{"title":"COVID-19 期间葡萄牙的流行病情报威胁报告概况:两年来非 COVID-19 威胁报告有所减少","authors":"V. Ricoca Peixoto, Berta Grau-Pujol, Matilde Ourique, Renato Lourenço da Silva, Mariana Ferreira, Ana Firme, Alexis Sentís, Paula Vasconcelos","doi":"10.1159/000539616","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<b><i>Background:</i></b> Epidemic intelligence (EI) ensures early detection, assessment, and communication of public health threats. Threat reporting defines priorities and mobilize resources for surveillance, prevention, and control. In Portugal, the Directorate-General of Health (DGS) is responsible for EI and publishes a weekly public health threat report (RONDA). Changes in threats in regular threat reports since COVID-19 have not been previously described. We analysed changes in non-COVID threat reporting in the weekly threat report. <b><i>Methods:</i></b> Using the DGS Emergency Operations Centre’s threat reporting database, we compared threats reported in RONDAs from 2016 to 2022 in three sequential periods: P1 before COVID-19 (January 2016–March 2020), P2 during acute COVID-19 restrictions (April 2020–February 2022), and P3 in post-acute COVID-19 phase (February 2022–September 2022). We described the monthly average frequency of reports on non-COVID-19 threats in those periods considering different disease groups, geographical focus, and information sources. We estimated expected non-COVID-19 reports on threats using a forecast model fitted to the time series until March 2020 and compared observed and expected values. <b><i>Results:</i></b> Non-COVID-19 threats had a decrease in the monthly average frequency of reporting in period 2 (<inline-formula><mml:math id=\"m1\" xmlns:mml=\"http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML\"><mml:mrow><mml:mover accent=\"true\"><mml:mi mathvariant=\"normal\">x</mml:mi><mml:mo>¯</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>: 4.7 vs. <inline-formula><mml:math id=\"m2\" xmlns:mml=\"http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML\"><mml:mrow><mml:mover accent=\"true\"><mml:mi mathvariant=\"normal\">x</mml:mi><mml:mo>¯</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>: 2.3, <i>p</i> < 0.001) compared to period 1. Using the forecast methods, there were 114 fewer non-COVID threats than the 162 expected (−70%) in period 2. In period 3, there were 105 more threats than expected (+256%). The ECDC and the WHO were the most frequent sources of information followed by national Public Health sources. <b><i>Conclusions:</i></b> During COVID-19, there was a decrease in reports on non-COVID threats in Portugal. COVID-19 possibly affected global EI, by shifting attention and resources from other threats to the pandemic. However, the number of threats that warrant follow-up and communication is increasing. Further research is necessary to inform the EI research and development agenda, to ensure that all relevant threats are detected, accessed, and communicated according to evolving EI objectives and priorities while resources and preparedness are guaranteed.","PeriodicalId":37244,"journal":{"name":"Portuguese Journal of Public Health","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2024-07-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Epidemic Intelligence Threat Reporting Profile in Portugal during the COVID-19: 2 Years of Decrease in Reporting on Non-COVID-19 Threats\",\"authors\":\"V. Ricoca Peixoto, Berta Grau-Pujol, Matilde Ourique, Renato Lourenço da Silva, Mariana Ferreira, Ana Firme, Alexis Sentís, Paula Vasconcelos\",\"doi\":\"10.1159/000539616\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<b><i>Background:</i></b> Epidemic intelligence (EI) ensures early detection, assessment, and communication of public health threats. Threat reporting defines priorities and mobilize resources for surveillance, prevention, and control. In Portugal, the Directorate-General of Health (DGS) is responsible for EI and publishes a weekly public health threat report (RONDA). Changes in threats in regular threat reports since COVID-19 have not been previously described. We analysed changes in non-COVID threat reporting in the weekly threat report. <b><i>Methods:</i></b> Using the DGS Emergency Operations Centre’s threat reporting database, we compared threats reported in RONDAs from 2016 to 2022 in three sequential periods: P1 before COVID-19 (January 2016–March 2020), P2 during acute COVID-19 restrictions (April 2020–February 2022), and P3 in post-acute COVID-19 phase (February 2022–September 2022). We described the monthly average frequency of reports on non-COVID-19 threats in those periods considering different disease groups, geographical focus, and information sources. We estimated expected non-COVID-19 reports on threats using a forecast model fitted to the time series until March 2020 and compared observed and expected values. <b><i>Results:</i></b> Non-COVID-19 threats had a decrease in the monthly average frequency of reporting in period 2 (<inline-formula><mml:math id=\\\"m1\\\" xmlns:mml=\\\"http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML\\\"><mml:mrow><mml:mover accent=\\\"true\\\"><mml:mi mathvariant=\\\"normal\\\">x</mml:mi><mml:mo>¯</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mn>1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>: 4.7 vs. <inline-formula><mml:math id=\\\"m2\\\" xmlns:mml=\\\"http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML\\\"><mml:mrow><mml:mover accent=\\\"true\\\"><mml:mi mathvariant=\\\"normal\\\">x</mml:mi><mml:mo>¯</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>: 2.3, <i>p</i> < 0.001) compared to period 1. Using the forecast methods, there were 114 fewer non-COVID threats than the 162 expected (−70%) in period 2. In period 3, there were 105 more threats than expected (+256%). The ECDC and the WHO were the most frequent sources of information followed by national Public Health sources. <b><i>Conclusions:</i></b> During COVID-19, there was a decrease in reports on non-COVID threats in Portugal. COVID-19 possibly affected global EI, by shifting attention and resources from other threats to the pandemic. However, the number of threats that warrant follow-up and communication is increasing. Further research is necessary to inform the EI research and development agenda, to ensure that all relevant threats are detected, accessed, and communicated according to evolving EI objectives and priorities while resources and preparedness are guaranteed.\",\"PeriodicalId\":37244,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Portuguese Journal of Public Health\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-07-11\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Portuguese Journal of Public Health\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1159/000539616\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"Medicine\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Portuguese Journal of Public Health","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1159/000539616","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"Medicine","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0

摘要

背景:流行病情报(EI)可确保及早发现、评估和通报公共卫生威胁。威胁报告可确定优先事项,并调动资源进行监测、预防和控制。在葡萄牙,卫生总局(DGS)负责 EI,并每周发布一份公共卫生威胁报告(RONDA)。自 COVID-19 以来,定期威胁报告中的威胁变化情况尚未在之前的报告中介绍过。我们分析了每周威胁报告中非 COVID 威胁报告的变化。方法:利用 DGS 紧急行动中心的威胁报告数据库,我们比较了从 2016 年到 2022 年三个连续时期的 RONDA 中报告的威胁:P1 在 COVID-19 之前(2016 年 1 月至 2020 年 3 月),P2 在 COVID-19 急性限制期间(2020 年 4 月至 2022 年 2 月),P3 在 COVID-19 后急性阶段(2022 年 2 月至 2022 年 9 月)。考虑到不同的疾病群组、地理重点和信息来源,我们描述了这些时期非 COVID-19 威胁的月平均报告频率。我们使用预测模型对 2020 年 3 月之前的时间序列进行了拟合,估算了非 COVID-19 威胁报告的预期值,并对观察值和预期值进行了比较。结果:与第 1 期相比,非 COVID-19 威胁在第 2 期的月平均报告频率有所下降(x¯1:4.7 vs. x¯:2.3,p < 0.001)。使用预测方法,第 2 期的非 COVID 威胁比预期的 162 例少 114 例(-70%)。在第 3 阶段,威胁数量比预期多出 105 个(+256%)。ECDC 和世卫组织是最常见的信息来源,其次是国家公共卫生来源。结论:在 COVID-19 期间,葡萄牙关于非 COVID 威胁的报告有所减少。COVID-19 可能影响了全球 EI,将注意力和资源从其他威胁转移到了大流行病上。然而,需要跟进和沟通的威胁数量正在增加。有必要开展进一步研究,为 EI 研究与发展议程提供信息,以确保根据不断变化的 EI 目标和优先事项检测、获取和传播所有相关威胁,同时保证资源和准备工作。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Epidemic Intelligence Threat Reporting Profile in Portugal during the COVID-19: 2 Years of Decrease in Reporting on Non-COVID-19 Threats
Background: Epidemic intelligence (EI) ensures early detection, assessment, and communication of public health threats. Threat reporting defines priorities and mobilize resources for surveillance, prevention, and control. In Portugal, the Directorate-General of Health (DGS) is responsible for EI and publishes a weekly public health threat report (RONDA). Changes in threats in regular threat reports since COVID-19 have not been previously described. We analysed changes in non-COVID threat reporting in the weekly threat report. Methods: Using the DGS Emergency Operations Centre’s threat reporting database, we compared threats reported in RONDAs from 2016 to 2022 in three sequential periods: P1 before COVID-19 (January 2016–March 2020), P2 during acute COVID-19 restrictions (April 2020–February 2022), and P3 in post-acute COVID-19 phase (February 2022–September 2022). We described the monthly average frequency of reports on non-COVID-19 threats in those periods considering different disease groups, geographical focus, and information sources. We estimated expected non-COVID-19 reports on threats using a forecast model fitted to the time series until March 2020 and compared observed and expected values. Results: Non-COVID-19 threats had a decrease in the monthly average frequency of reporting in period 2 (x¯1: 4.7 vs. x¯: 2.3, p < 0.001) compared to period 1. Using the forecast methods, there were 114 fewer non-COVID threats than the 162 expected (−70%) in period 2. In period 3, there were 105 more threats than expected (+256%). The ECDC and the WHO were the most frequent sources of information followed by national Public Health sources. Conclusions: During COVID-19, there was a decrease in reports on non-COVID threats in Portugal. COVID-19 possibly affected global EI, by shifting attention and resources from other threats to the pandemic. However, the number of threats that warrant follow-up and communication is increasing. Further research is necessary to inform the EI research and development agenda, to ensure that all relevant threats are detected, accessed, and communicated according to evolving EI objectives and priorities while resources and preparedness are guaranteed.
求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
Portuguese Journal of Public Health
Portuguese Journal of Public Health Medicine-Health Policy
CiteScore
2.60
自引率
0.00%
发文量
20
审稿时长
55 weeks
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
确定
请完成安全验证×
copy
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
右上角分享
点击右上角分享
0
联系我们:info@booksci.cn Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。 Copyright © 2023 布克学术 All rights reserved.
京ICP备2023020795号-1
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术官方微信