沙特阿拉伯工业经济增长、可再生能源供应和二氧化碳排放之间的相关性

Yousif Osman
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摘要

工业部门对沙特阿拉伯的经济仍然至关重要,因为该国的工业出口持续增长,使得国际市场欣欣向荣。然而,由于导致全球变暖的气体--二氧化碳(CO2)排放量增加,人类造成的全球变暖影响变得更加严重。这些排放既损害了工业生产力,也损害了经济。鉴于预计的人口增长和对环境整治工作的重视,考虑未来工业生产力对能源资源的需求非常重要。由此产生的问题是:尽管工业本身有潜力为可再生能源生产做出巨大贡献,但清洁能源供应会对工业经济和环境产生什么影响?本研究调查了沙特阿拉伯的可再生能源供应、二氧化碳排放和贸易开放度对工业部门经济增长的影响,时间跨度为 1990 年至 2022 年。通过确定优先领域,该关系为旨在促进工业部门可再生能源发展的政策提供了宝贵的见解。采用了自回归分布滞后(ARDL)分析来估算该关系。研究结果表明,工业部门的增长加剧了环境退化,而国际贸易则使工业部门受益。由于可再生能源供应增长减少,工业经济增长放缓。从短期来看,工业部门每增加一个单位,二氧化碳排放量就会减少 0.88;从长期来看,工业部门每增加一个单位,二氧化碳排放量就会减少 0.55。这项研究为可再生能源供应与工业部门之间的联系提供了新的经验证据,可对沙特阿拉伯工业部门使用可再生能源的政策产生影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Correlation among Industrial Economic Growth, Renewable Energy Provision and CO2 Emissions in Saudi Arabia
The industrial sector remains crucial to the Saudi Arabian economy, as the country's industrial exports continue to grow, allowing for the emergence of a thriving international market. However, the effects of global warming caused by humans have become stronger due to higher emissions of gasses that contribute to global warming, carbon dioxide (CO2). These emissions hurt both industrial productivity and the economy. Given the projected population growth and the focus on environmental remediation efforts, it is important to consider the future energy resource requirements for industrial productivity. The question that arises is: what will be the impact of having a clean energy supply on the industry's economy and the environment, even though the industry itself has the potential to greatly contribute to renewable energy production? This study investigates the effect of Saudi Arabia's renewable energy supply, CO2 emissions, and trade openness on the economic growth of the industrial sector, covering the period from 1990 to 2022. The nexus offers valuable insights for policies aimed at promoting renewable energy in the industrial sector by identifying areas of priority. An autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) analysis was used to estimate the nexus. The findings indicated that the growth of the industry sector contributes to environmental degradation, whereas international trade benefits the sector. The industrial economy experienced a slowdown due to the reduced growth of renewable energy supply. In the short-run, an increase of one unit in the industry sector is associated with a decrease of 0.88 in CO2 emissions, while in the long-run an increase of one unit industry sector, is associated with a decrease of 0.55 in CO2 emissions. The study provides new empirical evidence for the links between renewable energy supply and the industrial sector, which can influence policy regarding the use of renewable energy in Saudi Arabia's industrial sector.
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