转基因作物的安全评估

Jiusi Wen, Jingya Wang, Linlin Sun
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究侧重于转基因作物在现代农业生产中的应用,深入探讨其安全性评估和消费者接受度问题,同时分析这些因素影响市场动态的机制。研究背景强调,尽管转基因技术具有提高作物整体性能的潜力,但公众对其安全性的担忧极大地影响了消费者的接受程度,进而影响了市场表现。本文首先对有关转基因作物安全评价方法的现有文献进行了评估,找出了在整合消费者接受度和市场动态方面存在的不足。为弥补这一不足,利用模糊ID3 算法开发了一个评价系统,将消费者接受度纳入转基因作物的安全评价中。此外,还利用多属性决策理论建立了一个决策模型,用于评估市场利益相关者对转基因作物的立场。该模型通过计算和加权各个模块与正负理想解决方案之间的距离,为市场分析提供了一个新的视角。本文采用的方法为转基因作物的安全评估和市场预测提供了强有力的工具,对指导政策制定和产业发展具有实用价值。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Safety evaluation of genetically modified crops
This study focuses on the application of genetically modified (GM) crops in modern agricultural production, delving into the assessment of their safety and consumer acceptance issues, while analyzing the mechanisms through which these factors influence market dynamics. The background highlights that, despite the potential of genetic modification technology to enhance the overall performance of crops, public concerns regarding their safety significantly affect consumer acceptance and, consequently, market performance. An evaluation of existing literature on the safety evaluation methods for GM crops is first conducted, identifying shortcomings in integrating consumer acceptance, and market dynamics. To address this gap, an evaluation system that incorporates consumer acceptance into the safety evaluation of GM crops was developed, utilizing the FuzzyID3 algorithm. Furthermore, employing multi-attribute decision theory, a decision model for assessing the stances of market stakeholders towards GM crops was established. This model, through the calculation and weighting of the distances from positive and negative ideal solutions across various modules, offers a novel perspective for market analysis. The methodology employed herein provides a robust tool for the safety evaluation and market forecasting of GM crops, holding practical value for guiding policy formulation and industry development.
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