{"title":"21 世纪克里米亚草原生态系统可用水量变化情景预测","authors":"E. M. Gusev, O. N. Nasonova, E. E. Kovalev","doi":"10.1134/S2079096124010074","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>Based on the use of the SWAP land sutface model in combination with scenario projections of the dynamics of the daily values of meteorological characteristics in the territory of the Steppe Crimea until the end of the 21st century obtained using climate models with a spatial resolution of 0.5° × 0.5°, simulations of the components of the water balance and the characteristics of water availability for the region’s ecosystems were carried out for 1961–2100. The climatic values of the average annual near-surface air temperature, annual precipitation, evapotranspiration, surface runoff, underground runoff, real transpiration, potential transpiration, water availability for ecosystems and the efficiency of ecosystem use of soil water resources were obtained for the historical (1981–2010) and two projection (2031–2060 and 2071–2100) periods under different global climate change scenarios: SSP1-2.6, SSP3-7.0 and SSP5-8.5. An analysis of changes in these characteristics for the territory of the Steppe Crimea in the 21st century was carried out.</p>","PeriodicalId":44316,"journal":{"name":"Arid Ecosystems","volume":"14 1","pages":"1 - 16"},"PeriodicalIF":0.6000,"publicationDate":"2024-07-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Scenario Projecting of Changes in Water Availability for Ecosystems in the Steppe Crimea in the 21st Century\",\"authors\":\"E. M. Gusev, O. N. Nasonova, E. E. Kovalev\",\"doi\":\"10.1134/S2079096124010074\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p>Based on the use of the SWAP land sutface model in combination with scenario projections of the dynamics of the daily values of meteorological characteristics in the territory of the Steppe Crimea until the end of the 21st century obtained using climate models with a spatial resolution of 0.5° × 0.5°, simulations of the components of the water balance and the characteristics of water availability for the region’s ecosystems were carried out for 1961–2100. The climatic values of the average annual near-surface air temperature, annual precipitation, evapotranspiration, surface runoff, underground runoff, real transpiration, potential transpiration, water availability for ecosystems and the efficiency of ecosystem use of soil water resources were obtained for the historical (1981–2010) and two projection (2031–2060 and 2071–2100) periods under different global climate change scenarios: SSP1-2.6, SSP3-7.0 and SSP5-8.5. An analysis of changes in these characteristics for the territory of the Steppe Crimea in the 21st century was carried out.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":44316,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Arid Ecosystems\",\"volume\":\"14 1\",\"pages\":\"1 - 16\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.6000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-07-24\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Arid Ecosystems\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://link.springer.com/article/10.1134/S2079096124010074\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q4\",\"JCRName\":\"ECOLOGY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Arid Ecosystems","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://link.springer.com/article/10.1134/S2079096124010074","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q4","JCRName":"ECOLOGY","Score":null,"Total":0}
Scenario Projecting of Changes in Water Availability for Ecosystems in the Steppe Crimea in the 21st Century
Based on the use of the SWAP land sutface model in combination with scenario projections of the dynamics of the daily values of meteorological characteristics in the territory of the Steppe Crimea until the end of the 21st century obtained using climate models with a spatial resolution of 0.5° × 0.5°, simulations of the components of the water balance and the characteristics of water availability for the region’s ecosystems were carried out for 1961–2100. The climatic values of the average annual near-surface air temperature, annual precipitation, evapotranspiration, surface runoff, underground runoff, real transpiration, potential transpiration, water availability for ecosystems and the efficiency of ecosystem use of soil water resources were obtained for the historical (1981–2010) and two projection (2031–2060 and 2071–2100) periods under different global climate change scenarios: SSP1-2.6, SSP3-7.0 and SSP5-8.5. An analysis of changes in these characteristics for the territory of the Steppe Crimea in the 21st century was carried out.
期刊介绍：
Arid Ecosystems publishes original scientific research articles on desert and semidesert ecosystems and environment:systematic studies of arid territories: climate changes, water supply of territories, soils as ecological factors of ecosystems state and dynamics in different scales (from local to global);systematic studies of arid ecosystems: composition and structure, diversity, ecology; paleohistory; dynamics under anthropogenic and natural factors impact, including climate changes; studying of bioresources and biodiversity, and development of the mapping methods;arid ecosystems protection: development of the theory and methods of degradation prevention and monitoring; desert ecosystems rehabilitation;problems of desertification: theoretical and practical issues of modern aridization processes under anthropogenic impact and global climate changes.
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