Erik Wahlström , Daniel Bruce , Anna M. Bennet-Bark , Sten Walther , Håkan Hanberger , Kristoffer Strålin
{"title":"瑞典 65 岁以下未接种疫苗的首次检测呈阳性且无合并症的成年人在 Omicron 和 Omicron 前感染 SARS-CoV-2 的严重程度。","authors":"Erik Wahlström , Daniel Bruce , Anna M. Bennet-Bark , Sten Walther , Håkan Hanberger , Kristoffer Strålin","doi":"10.1016/j.jiph.2024.102502","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><p>The COVID-19 pandemic has had several phases with varying characteristics. We aimed to compare severity outcomes in different phases in a population with limited bias from risk factors.</p></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><p>In a nationwide observational study of all unvaccinated first-time COVID-19 test positive individuals in Sweden aged 18–64 years without comorbidity, from week 45 of 2020 to week 5 of 2022, variant periods with certain variants constituting ≥ 92 % of all whole genome-sequenced cases nationwide, were compared regarding hospitalisation (with main discharge code of COVID-19), severe illness (use of high-flow nasal oxygen or admission to intensive care unit), and death due to COVID-19. Logistic regression was used to estimate odds ratios (ORs) for comparison of these outcomes between variant periods, using adjustments for variant period, age, sex, country of birth, place of residence, income, and education.</p></div><div><h3>Findings</h3><p>The study included 789,133 individuals, including 15,145 hospitalised individuals. Among all individuals, the adjusted ORs for hospitalisation were 1.7 for the Alpha period vs the Pre-variant period (week 45–52 2020), 1.8 for the Delta period vs the Alpha period, and 0.1 for the Omicron period vs the Delta period (all comparisons significant). Among hospitalised individuals, the adjusted ORs for severe illness were 1.4 for the Alpha period vs the Pre-variant period, 1.7 for the Delta period vs the Alpha period, and 0.5 for the Omicron period vs the Delta period (all comparisons significant), and the adjusted ORs for death were 1.1 for the Alpha period vs the Pre-variant period (non-significant), 1.8 for the Delta period vs the Alpha period (significant), and 0.1 for the Omicron period vs the Delta period (non-significant).</p></div><div><h3>Interpretation</h3><p>In this population with limited bias from risk factors, vaccination, and previous infection, disease severity increased from the pre-variant to the Delta period and then decreased with the Omicron period, among all individuals and among hospitalised individuals. These severity outcome differences should be considered when the pandemic is evaluated.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":16087,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Infection and Public Health","volume":"17 9","pages":"Article 102502"},"PeriodicalIF":4.7000,"publicationDate":"2024-07-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1876034124002363/pdfft?md5=602858c57050e00683510f4feadf21c0&pid=1-s2.0-S1876034124002363-main.pdf","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Severity outcomes of SARS-CoV-2 infection in the Omicron and pre-Omicron periods, in unvaccinated first-time test positive adults less than 65 years old without comorbidity, in Sweden\",\"authors\":\"Erik Wahlström , Daniel Bruce , Anna M. Bennet-Bark , Sten Walther , Håkan Hanberger , Kristoffer Strålin\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.jiph.2024.102502\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><h3>Background</h3><p>The COVID-19 pandemic has had several phases with varying characteristics. We aimed to compare severity outcomes in different phases in a population with limited bias from risk factors.</p></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><p>In a nationwide observational study of all unvaccinated first-time COVID-19 test positive individuals in Sweden aged 18–64 years without comorbidity, from week 45 of 2020 to week 5 of 2022, variant periods with certain variants constituting ≥ 92 % of all whole genome-sequenced cases nationwide, were compared regarding hospitalisation (with main discharge code of COVID-19), severe illness (use of high-flow nasal oxygen or admission to intensive care unit), and death due to COVID-19. Logistic regression was used to estimate odds ratios (ORs) for comparison of these outcomes between variant periods, using adjustments for variant period, age, sex, country of birth, place of residence, income, and education.</p></div><div><h3>Findings</h3><p>The study included 789,133 individuals, including 15,145 hospitalised individuals. Among all individuals, the adjusted ORs for hospitalisation were 1.7 for the Alpha period vs the Pre-variant period (week 45–52 2020), 1.8 for the Delta period vs the Alpha period, and 0.1 for the Omicron period vs the Delta period (all comparisons significant). Among hospitalised individuals, the adjusted ORs for severe illness were 1.4 for the Alpha period vs the Pre-variant period, 1.7 for the Delta period vs the Alpha period, and 0.5 for the Omicron period vs the Delta period (all comparisons significant), and the adjusted ORs for death were 1.1 for the Alpha period vs the Pre-variant period (non-significant), 1.8 for the Delta period vs the Alpha period (significant), and 0.1 for the Omicron period vs the Delta period (non-significant).</p></div><div><h3>Interpretation</h3><p>In this population with limited bias from risk factors, vaccination, and previous infection, disease severity increased from the pre-variant to the Delta period and then decreased with the Omicron period, among all individuals and among hospitalised individuals. 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Severity outcomes of SARS-CoV-2 infection in the Omicron and pre-Omicron periods, in unvaccinated first-time test positive adults less than 65 years old without comorbidity, in Sweden
Background
The COVID-19 pandemic has had several phases with varying characteristics. We aimed to compare severity outcomes in different phases in a population with limited bias from risk factors.
Methods
In a nationwide observational study of all unvaccinated first-time COVID-19 test positive individuals in Sweden aged 18–64 years without comorbidity, from week 45 of 2020 to week 5 of 2022, variant periods with certain variants constituting ≥ 92 % of all whole genome-sequenced cases nationwide, were compared regarding hospitalisation (with main discharge code of COVID-19), severe illness (use of high-flow nasal oxygen or admission to intensive care unit), and death due to COVID-19. Logistic regression was used to estimate odds ratios (ORs) for comparison of these outcomes between variant periods, using adjustments for variant period, age, sex, country of birth, place of residence, income, and education.
Findings
The study included 789,133 individuals, including 15,145 hospitalised individuals. Among all individuals, the adjusted ORs for hospitalisation were 1.7 for the Alpha period vs the Pre-variant period (week 45–52 2020), 1.8 for the Delta period vs the Alpha period, and 0.1 for the Omicron period vs the Delta period (all comparisons significant). Among hospitalised individuals, the adjusted ORs for severe illness were 1.4 for the Alpha period vs the Pre-variant period, 1.7 for the Delta period vs the Alpha period, and 0.5 for the Omicron period vs the Delta period (all comparisons significant), and the adjusted ORs for death were 1.1 for the Alpha period vs the Pre-variant period (non-significant), 1.8 for the Delta period vs the Alpha period (significant), and 0.1 for the Omicron period vs the Delta period (non-significant).
Interpretation
In this population with limited bias from risk factors, vaccination, and previous infection, disease severity increased from the pre-variant to the Delta period and then decreased with the Omicron period, among all individuals and among hospitalised individuals. These severity outcome differences should be considered when the pandemic is evaluated.
期刊介绍：
The Journal of Infection and Public Health, first official journal of the Saudi Arabian Ministry of National Guard Health Affairs, King Saud Bin Abdulaziz University for Health Sciences and the Saudi Association for Public Health, aims to be the foremost scientific, peer-reviewed journal encompassing infection prevention and control, microbiology, infectious diseases, public health and the application of healthcare epidemiology to the evaluation of health outcomes. The point of view of the journal is that infection and public health are closely intertwined and that advances in one area will have positive consequences on the other.
The journal will be useful to all health professionals who are partners in the management of patients with communicable diseases, keeping them up to date. The journal is proud to have an international and diverse editorial board that will assist and facilitate the publication of articles that reflect a global view on infection control and public health, as well as emphasizing our focus on supporting the needs of public health practitioners.
It is our aim to improve healthcare by reducing risk of infection and related adverse outcomes by critical review, selection, and dissemination of new and relevant information in the field of infection control, public health and infectious diseases in all healthcare settings and the community.
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