巴基斯坦经济：2022 年经济危机的后果凸显了结构改革的必要性

IF 4.5 3区经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS

Asian Economic Policy Review Pub Date : 2024-07-18 DOI:10.1111/aepr.12486

Pierre van der Eng

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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文讨论了困扰巴基斯坦经济的主要问题。它从长远角度指出，若干经济问题是结构性的，至少可以追溯到 60 年前。本文证实，巴基斯坦当前的问题在 2022 年期间加剧，特别是由于大规模洪灾造成的破坏。政府的救灾工作增加了预算赤字、公共债务和通货膨胀。农作物歉收抑制了出口收入，增加了经常账户赤字，使 2023 年期间调动外汇偿还外债的需求更加迫切。2024 年，解决外债还本付息问题是实现宏观经济稳定和启动改革以改变抑制巴基斯坦经济增长的结构性因素的试金石。

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Pakistan's Economy: Fallout of 2022 Economic Distress Magnified the Need for Structural Reforms

This present paper discusses the main issues gripping Pakistan's economy. It takes a long‐term perspective to indicate that several economic issues are structural, going back at least 60 years. The present paper substantiates that Pakistan's current issues were aggravated during 2022, particularly by the damage caused by large scale floods. Government relief efforts increased budget deficits, public debt, and inflation. Crop failures dampened export earnings, increased the current account deficit and added urgency to the need to mobilize foreign exchange for foreign debt servicing during 2023. In 2024, resolving foreign debt servicing obligations is the touchstone for achieving macroeconomic stability and initiating reforms to change structural factors inhibiting Pakistan's economic growth.

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来源期刊

Asian Economic Policy Review ECONOMICS-

CiteScore

12.90

自引率

2.60%

发文量

期刊介绍： The goal of the Asian Economic Policy Review is to become an intellectual voice on the current issues of international economics and economic policy, based on comprehensive and in-depth analyses, with a primary focus on Asia. Emphasis is placed on identifying key issues at the time - spanning international trade, international finance, the environment, energy, the integration of regional economies and other issues - in order to furnish ideas and proposals to contribute positively to the policy debate in the region.