Initial Holter Electrocardiogram Index to Predict the Burden of Subsequent Persistent Premature Ventricular Complex in Childhood.

Background: Asymptomatic premature ventricular complex (PVC) in childhood often disappears over time. However, predictive factors for persistent PVC are unknown. We examined predictive factors for persistent PVCs on initial Holter electrocardiogram (ECG) in pediatric patients with asymptomatic PVC.

Methods and results: The initial Holter ECG findings of untreated PVC patients (n=216) between 2010 and 2021 were examined. Multivariable analysis was performed to clarify predictive factors for subsequent persistent PVC burden for each index (age, sex, PVC burden, PVC origin, minimum and maximum mean RR intervals [RRmin and RRmax, respectively]) of the 3 heartbeats of baseline sinus rhythm immediately before the PVC. The median age at initial Holter ECG was 11.6 years (range 5.8-18.8 years), the PVC burden was 5.22% (range 0.01-44.21%), RRmin was 660 ms, RRmax was 936 ms, RRrange (=RRmax-RRmin) was 273 ms, and 15 (7%) PVC runs were identified. The median follow-up period was 5.1 years (range 0.8-9.4 years), and the final Holter PVC burden was 3.99% (range 0-36.38%). In multivariate analysis, RRrange was the only independent risk factor for predicting a final Holter PVC burden >10%, with an area under the curve of 0.920 using an RRrange of 600 ms as the cut-off value.

Conclusions: A wide RRrange at the initial Holter ECG may be a predictive indicator for persistent PVC in childhood.