Evaluation of Success and Complications Scores for Chronic Total Occlusion Percutaneous Coronary Interventions: Insights from the Latin American Registry

Chronic total occlusion (CTO) percutaneous coronary intervention is a complex procedure and is associated with considerable risk of complications. Several success and complication scores have been developed; however, data regarding their external validation in other populations such as Latin America are scarce. This study aimed to evaluate the accuracy of the main predictors of success and complications in a broad cohort of procedures in the Latin American (LATAM) CTO registry. From April 2008 to December 2023, 3,706 consecutive procedures listed in the LATAM CTO registry were screened. Of these, 2,835 procedures had sufficient information to analyze the Multicenter CTO Registry in Japan (J-CTO); Prospective Global Registry for the Study of Chronic Total Occlusion Intervention (PROGRESS); Ostial location, Rentrop grade, and Age (ORA); Clinical and Lesion-related Score (CL-score); and EuroCTO Score (CASTLE) success scores. The complication scores were PROGRESS (MACE, mortality, and pericardiocentesis) and Outcomes, Patient health status, and Efficiency iN Chronic Total Occlusion hybrid procedures (OPEN-CTO),OPEN-CLEAN. The J-CTO and CASTLE scores demonstrated the highest areas under the curve (AUC) of 0.718 and 0.703, respectively. The AUC value for the CL-score was 0.685, whereas the PROGRESS score had an AUC of 0.598 and the ORA AUC was 0.545. The level of agreement between scores was low; only 4% of the procedures were classified as difficult or very difficult by all scores and <1% were classified as easy by all 5 scores. Of the complication scores, PROGRESS mortality (AUC 0.651) and PROGRESS MACE (AUC 0.588) showed the best performance, identifying groups with >10% event rate. These results may improve the selection of revascularization techniques, especially for patient demographics that are historically underrepresented in CTO research.