治理与经济增长:外国直接投资流入的中介作用

Dani Rahman Hakim, Saksono Budi
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引用次数: 0

摘要

摘要:许多研究试图探讨治理对经济增长的影响。然而,这些研究揭示的异质性使得政策难以实施。本研究试图利用外国直接投资(FDI)流入量作为中介变量来填补这些空白。本研究采用了 2000 年至 2021 年期间东南亚国家联盟(东盟)10 国的平衡面板数据。基于随机效应模型的中介框架,本研究揭示了政治稳定性(PV)和政府有效性(GE)对外国直接投资的积极影响。此外,本研究还发现,外国直接投资可以调节政治稳定性和政府效能对经济增长的间接影响。然而,本研究还发现,政府效能对经济增长的直接影响是负面的。这意味着东盟国家应切实、有效、系统地改善通用技术,以最大限度地降低机会成本。另一方面,东盟国家应注重保持 PV,以吸引更多的外国直接投资,促进经济增长。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Governance and Economic Growth: The Mediating Role of FDI Inflows
Abstract: Many studies have attempted to examine the effect of governance on economic growth. However, these studies reveal heterogeneities that make it difficult to implement policy. This current study attempts to fill these gaps by employing foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows as a mediating variable. This study employs balanced panel data for the 10 Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) between the period of 2000 to 2021. Based on the mediation framework in a random effect model, this study reveals that political stability (PV) and government effectiveness (GE) affect FDI positively. Moreover, this study finds that FDI can mediate the indirect effect of PV and GE on economic growth. However, this study also reveals that the direct effect of GE on economic growth is negative. This implies that ASEAN countries should be practical, effective, and systematic in improving GE to minimise opportunity costs. On the other hand, ASEAN countries should focus on maintaining PV to attract more FDI and encourage economic growth.
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