全球价值链对摩洛哥出口绩效的影响:经济依赖性行业分析

A. Jabri, Jaafari Islam, Zenansi Mourad
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摘要

摘要:过去几十年来,国际贸易发生了深刻变化,越来越多地围绕全球价值链展开。理论和实证研究表明,发达国家和发展中国家越来越多地参与全球价值链(GVCs)会带来好处。然而,针对一国具体情况的全球价值链后向和前向参与效果的实证研究仍然有限。本文试图利用面板数据中不同的协整技术,研究摩洛哥后向和前向参与全球价值链是否改善了其 1995 年至 2018 年期间的出口表现。我们的实证结果表明,前向和后向参与对摩洛哥出口和国内附加值有积极影响。这些结果还表明,国内和国外的服务投入也对这一绩效产生了积极影响。基于所获得的结果,我们为政策制定者提出了一些建议。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Impact of Global Value Chains on the Performance of Moroccan Exports: Sector Analysis with Economic Dependencies
Abstract: The last few decades have been marked by profound changes in international trade, which is increasingly organised around global value chains. Theoretical and empirical research shows the benefits associated with increasing participation in global value chains (GVCs) for both developed and developing countries. However, empirical studies on the effects of backward and forward participation in GVCs for the specific case of a country remain limited. This article seeks to examine whether Morocco’s backward and forward participation in GVCs improves the performance of its exports over the period of 1995 to 2018 using different cointegration techniques in panel data. Our empirical results show that forward and backward participation positively impact exports and domestic value added in Moroccan exports. They also indicate that domestic and foreign service inputs contribute positively to this performance. Based on the obtained results, we propose some recommendations for policymakers.
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