2008 年至 2019 年中欧和东欧人口数量变化的社会经济发展决定因素

Tadeusz Truskolaski, Ł. Bugowski
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引用次数: 0

摘要

近年来,中欧和东欧大部分地区的人口明显减少。本文旨在分析 2008 年至 2019 年期间中欧和东欧地区的经济和社会指标水平以及人口数量的变化。特别是,文章试图回答选定的经济和社会指标的变化如何影响人口数量的变化这一问题。上述问题的答案将通过比率分析和软模型来提供。研究结果表明,人口数量变化的两个原因(自然原因和人口迁移)受到一组社会指标的重大影响,尽管在人口迁移方面,经济指标的重要性在增加,而且前者与后者之间的差异不大。因此,在应对人口减少的过程中,应更多地关注发展的社会层面。换言之,为个人和职业活动创造适当的条件可能比使用金融工具更为重要。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Socio-economic determinants of development in reference to the change in population size in Central and Eastern Europe between 2008 and 2019
For most regions of Central and Eastern Europe there has been a noticeable decline in population in recent years. The purpose of this article is to analyse the level of economic and social indicators as well as changes in population size between 2008 and 2019 in the regions of Central and Eastern Europe. In particular, the article attempts to answer the question of how the change in selected economic and social indicators impacts the change in population size. The answer to the above question will be provided with the use of the ratio analysis and thesoft model. The research results show that the two causes of changes in population size (natural causes and migrations) are significantly affected by a group of social indicators, even though—with regard to migration—the significance of economic indicators is increasing and the difference between the former and the latter is not substantial. Consequently, in response to the depopulation process, more attention should be paid to the social dimension of development. In other words, creating proper conditions for personal and professional activity may be more important than using financial instruments. 
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