非洲猪瘟(ASF)对东努沙登加拉省 Ngada 地区生猪的经济影响

Christoffel Madha, Heru Susetya, Aris Haryanto, E. Wera
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摘要

非洲猪瘟(ASF)攻击猪群,死亡率高达 100%,无法治疗,自 2020-2023 年以来一直未找到疫苗。本研究数据包括原始数据和二手数据。第一手数据是与恩加达县的农民、6 个分区的畜牧技术官员、检疫官员、猪贩和政策制定者的访谈数据。二手数据是 ASF 猪的死亡率数据(2020 年、2021 年、2022 年和 2023 年)、猪的数量、养猪户的数量以及中央统计局(BPS)的人口数据。通过种族分层、村庄/分区和畜牧业受访者(KK)确定分区,在 6 个分区、33 个村庄/分区和 325 个受访家庭中按比例进行简单配给。数据以平均值 ± 标准差的形式呈现。风险因素分析采用卡方(chi square)进行二变量分析,以确定两个变量之间的关联(关系),然后计算比值比(OR),以确定两个变量之间的关联强度。数据分析使用的是 SPSS 23 版本。本研究获得的数据使用图片和表格展示,然后进行描述性说明。三个民族的家庭养猪的平均结果以巴雅瓦族最高,为 57.2%,其次是索阿族,为 10.5%,然后是恩加达县和恩加达县以外的混合族,为 9.5%,恩加达县的混合族为 9.2%,里昂族为 7.1%。假定 85% 的家庭养猪,ASF 疾病造成的经济损失为 869 148 548 700 印尼盾(8 万亿卢比)(Leslie 等人,2015 年)。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Economic Impact of African Swine Fever (ASF) Disease on Pigs in Ngada Regency East Nusa Tenggara Province
African Swine Fever (ASF) attacks pigs with a death rate reaching 100% of the population, cannot be treated, no vaccine has been found since 2020–2023. This research data consists of primary data and secondary data. Primary data is data from interviews with farmers, livestock technical officers in 6 (six) sub-districts, quarantine officers, pig traders, and policy makers in Ngada Regency. Secondary data is ASF pig mortality data (2020, 2021, 2022, and 2023), pig population, number of pig farmers, and population data at the Central Statistics Agency (BPS). Determination of sub-districts is done by ethnicity stratified, villages/sub-districts and livestock farmer respondents (KK) carried out a simple rationing proportionally in 6 (six) sub-districts, 33 villages/sub-districts and 325 respondent families. Data are presented in the form of mean values ​​± standard deviation. Risk factor analysis was carried out bivariately using chi square to determine the association (relationship) between two variables followed by calculation analysis Odds Ratio (OR) to determine the strength of association between two variables. Data analysis used the SPSS version 23. The data obtained in this research is presented using pictures and tables and then described descriptively. The average results obtained by households in the three ethnic groups raising pigs were the highest for the Bajawa ethnic group at 57.2%, followed by the Soa ethnic group at 10.5%, followed by a mixture of Ngada Regency and outside Ngada Regency at 9.5%, a mixture of ethnicities in Ngada Regency as much as 9.2% and the Riung ethnic group as much as 7.1%. The economic loss of ASF disease is IDR 8,691,148,548,700 (Eight Trillion Six Hundred Ninety One Billion One Hundred Forty Eight Million Seven Hundred Rupiah) assuming that 85% of families raise pigs (Leslie et al., 2015).
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