普通人群中长 COVID-19 的流行率和预测因素以及平均诊断时间:系统回顾、元分析和元回归

COVID Pub Date : 2024-07-05 DOI:10.3390/covid4070067
J. Muthuka, J. M. Nzioki, Jack Oluoch Kelly, Everlyn Nyamai Musangi, Lucy Chepkemei Chebungei, Rosemary Nabaweesi, Michael Kibet Kiptoo
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摘要

目的:我们旨在评估长COVID-19的患病率,估算其确诊的平均时间,并对相关因素进行元回归。方法我们对 43 项研究(367236 名患者)(2020 年 6 月至 2022 年 8 月)进行了系统回顾、荟萃分析和元回归。通过随机效应模型,我们测算出了长 COVID-19 的总体患病率。确定了发表偏倚,并根据预先确定的协变量进行了元回归分析。该试验已在 PROSPERO 注册(CRD42022328509)。结果长COVID-19的汇总患病率为42.5%(95% CI为36%至49.3%),四个月和两个月时的患病率分别为25%和66%。大多数情况下,长 COVID-19 症状和体征出现在 3 个月(54.3%)至 6 个月(57%)(p < 0.0001),在 12 个月时进一步增加(57.9%,p = 0.0148)。高血压与长 COVID-19 显著相关,占 32% (0.322 (95% CI 0.166, 0.532) (p < 0.001),再次入院占 17% (Q = 8.70, df = 1, p = 0.0032) (R2 = 0.17)。所有协变量对长 COVID-19 的效应大小变异的解释率至少为 53%(Q = 38.81,df = 19,p = 0.0047)(R2 模拟 = 0.53)。结论与心血管疾病相关的长 COVID-19 患病率为 42.5%。再次入院在很大程度上预测了长 COVID-19 的发生率。一项特定研究中的临床和方法学特征导致了50%以上的长COVID-19事件,大多数体征和症状发生在3至6个月之间,并在12个月时有所增加。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Prevalence and Predictors of Long COVID-19 and the Average Time to Diagnosis in the General Population: A Systematic Review, Meta-Analysis and Meta-Regression
Objectives: We aimed to assess the prevalence of long COVID-19 and estimate the average time to its diagnosis and meta-regression for covariates. Methods: We conducted a systematic review, meta-analysis, and meta-regression from 43 studies (367,236 patients) (June 2020–August 2022). With the random-effects model, the pooled prevalence of long COVID-19 was measured. Publication bias was ascertained, and meta-regression analysis was performed on predetermined covariates. The trial was registered with PROSPERO (CRD42022328509). Results: The pooled prevalence of long COVID-19 was 42.5% (95% CI 36% to 49.3%), with 25% and 66% at four and two months, respectively. Mostly, long COVID-19 signs and symptoms occurred at three (54.3%) to six (57%) months (p < 0.0001), further increasing at 12 months (57.9%, p = 0.0148). Hypertension was significantly associated with long COVID-19 at 32% (0.322 (95% CI 0.166, 0.532) (p < 0.001) and hospital re-admission contributed to 17% (Q = 8.70, df = 1, p = 0.0032) (R2 = 0.17). All the covariates explained at least some of the variance in effect size on long COVID-19 at 53% (Q = 38.81, df = 19, p = 0.0047) (R2 analog = 0.53). Conclusion: The prevalence of long COVID-19 was 42.5% when linked with a cardiovascular disorder. Hospital re-admission majorly predicted the incidence of long COVID-19. Clinical and methodological characteristics in a specific study contributed to over 50% of long COVID-19 events, with most signs and symptoms occurring between 3 and 6 months and increasing at 12 months.
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