现代经济理论和典型事实

IF 0.7 Q3 ECONOMICS
V. Dementiev
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引用次数: 0

摘要

文章专门论述了典型化事实在制定和实施研究计划中的作用。文章从使用概括方法作为科学知识的主要方法之一的角度,探讨了现代经济理论的现状。我们发现了理论研究中三个潜在的薄弱环节:对风格化事实关注不够、缺乏此类事实本身以及忽视了减少这种不足的可能性。以宏观经济描述生产技术革新为例,尤其可以说明对风格化事实的关注不够。即使是先进的宏观经济动态模型,也往往忽视新旧技术同时发展时期的存在,而在这一时期,所使用的新技术在特性上仍不如旧技术。在向数字技术过渡的背景下,考虑到这些技术所特有的规模效应变得尤为重要,但新古典综合模型却没有考虑到这一点。现代数字技术为借助能够在短时间内模拟长期经济发展经验的模型形成 "准风格化 "事实开辟了前景。不同时期的风格化事实的特殊性是由于使用了针对各个经济发展阶段的专门理论。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Modern economic theory and stylized facts
The article is devoted to the role of stylized facts in the formation and implementation of a research program. The state of modern economic theory is considered from the standpoint of using the generalization method as one of the main methods of scientific knowledge. Three potential sources of weakness in theoretical research have been identified: insufficient attention to stylized facts, a shortage of such facts themselves, and ignoring the possibilities of reducing this deficit. Insufficient attention is illustrated, in particular, by the example of a macroeconomic description of technological renewal of production. Even advanced models of macroeconomic dynamics tend to ignore the existence of a period of simultaneous development of old and new technologies, during which the new ones used are still inferior in their characteristics to the old technologies. In the context of the transition to digital technologies, it becomes especially important to take into account the effects of scale characteristic of these technologies, but they are not taken into account in the new neoclassical synthesis. Modern digital technologies open up prospects for the formation of “quasi-stylized” facts with the help of models capable of simulating long-term experience of economic development in a short time. The peculiarity of stylized facts for different time periods is due to the use of specialized theories for individual stages of economic development.
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来源期刊
Voprosy Ekonomiki
Voprosy Ekonomiki ECONOMICS-
CiteScore
1.80
自引率
25.00%
发文量
86
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