气候变化对英国人预期寿命的影响：傅立叶自引导 ARDL 程序的经验证据

IF 2.2 4区地球科学 Q2 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY

Acta Montanistica Slovaca Pub Date : 2024-07-15 DOI:10.46544/ams.v29i1.15

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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究旨在利用 1990-2021 年的年度数据，确定地表温度变化（在英国被视为气候变化的代表）对预期寿命的影响。政府支出被用作控制变量。利用基于傅立叶函数的自回归分布滞后模型来检验变量之间的协整关系。分析结果表明，预期寿命、地表温度变化和政府支出之间存在长期关系。此外，研究结果表明，地表温度变化在长期会显著降低预期寿命，而在短期内这两个变量之间没有显著关系。Toda-Yamamoto 因果分析结果显示，地表温度变化与预期寿命之间存在单向因果关系。此外，还发现预期寿命与政府支出之间存在明显的双向因果关系。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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The Impact of Climate Change on Life Expectancy in the UK: Empirical Evidence from Fourier Bootstrap ARDL Procedure

This study aims to determine the impact of surface temperature change, considered a proxy for climate change in the United Kingdom, on life expectancy using annual data from 1990–2021. Government expenditure is used as a control variable. The Fourier function-based bootstrap autoregressive distributed lag model is utilized to examine the cointegration among variables. The analysis outcomes reveal a long-term relationship between life expectancy, surface temperature change, and government expenditure. Furthermore, the findings reveal that surface temperature change significantly reduces life expectancy in the long run, while there is no significant relationship between the two variables in the short term. The Toda-Yamamoto causality analysis results show a unidirectional causality relationship between surface temperature change and life expectancy. Additionally, a significant bidirectional causality relationship is found between life expectancy and government expenditure.

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来源期刊

Acta Montanistica Slovaca 地学-地球科学综合

CiteScore

3.60

自引率

12.50%

发文量

审稿时长

30 weeks

期刊介绍： Acta Montanistica Slovaca publishes high quality articles on basic and applied research in the following fields: geology and geological survey; mining; Earth resources; underground engineering and geotechnics; mining mechanization, mining transport, deep hole drilling; ecotechnology and mineralurgy; process control, automation and applied informatics in raw materials extraction, utilization and processing; other similar fields. Acta Montanistica Slovaca is the only scientific journal of this kind in Central, Eastern and South Eastern Europe. The submitted manuscripts should contribute significantly to the international literature, even if the focus can be regional. Manuscripts should cite the extant and relevant international literature, should clearly state what the wider contribution is (e.g. a novel discovery, application of a new technique or methodology, application of an existing methodology to a new problem), and should discuss the importance of the work in the international context.