Low-density lipoprotein cholesterol-to-lymphocyte count ratio (LLR) is a promising novel predictor of postoperative new-onset deep vein thrombosis following open wedge high tibial osteotomy: a propensity score-matched analysis.

Background: The association of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) and lymphocyte counts with the development of deep vein thrombosis (DVT) has been demonstrated in many fields but remains lacking in open wedge high tibial osteotomy (OWHTO). This study aimed to assess the predictive value of LDL-C to lymphocyte count ratio (LLR) in screening for postoperative new-onset DVT.

Methods: Clinical data were retrospectively collected from patients who underwent OWHTO between June 2018 and May 2023. The limited restricted cubic spline (RCS) was conducted to evaluate the nonlinear relationship between LLR and the risk of postoperative new-onset DVT. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were plotted and the predictive value of biomarkers was assessed. After adjusting for intergroup confounders by propensity score matching, the univariate logistic regression was applied to assess the association between LLR and DVT.

Results: 1293 eligible patients were included. RCS analysis showed a linear positive correlation between LLR and the risk of DVT (P for overall = 0.008). We identified LLR had an area under the curve of 0.607, accuracy of 74.3%, sensitivity of 38.5%, and specificity of 80.7%, and LLR > 1.75 was independently associated with a 1.45-fold risk of DVT (95% CI: 1.01-2.08, P = 0.045). Furthermore, significant heterogeneities were observed in the subgroups of age, BMI, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, Kellgren-Lawrence grade, the American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) score, and intraoperative osteotomy correction size.

Conclusion: LLR is a valuable biomarker for predicting postoperative new-onset DVT in patients with OWHTO, and routine screening is expected to yield positive benefits.