欧盟-中国全面投资协定的经济影响：动态一般均衡分析

IF 1 4区经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS

Asian Economic Journal Pub Date : 2024-06-20 DOI:10.1111/asej.12330

Fan Zhai, Juzhong Zhuang

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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文利用一个包含外国直接投资（FDI）和技术资本的全球动态一般均衡模型，发现中欧全面投资协定（CAI）可为双方带来适度但不可忽略的利益。在《全面投资协议》将双边外商直接投资开放度提高 10%的示例情景下，欧盟对中国的外商直接投资可增加 3-4 倍，中国对欧盟的外商直接投资可增加 3 倍，这将为中国和欧盟分别带来 0.23% 和 0.73% 的稳态国民生产总值（GNP）收益。按现值计算，中国和欧盟的累积家庭福利收益分别相当于每年国民生产总值的 0.36% 和 0.13%。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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Economic impacts of the EU–China comprehensive investment agreement: A dynamic general equilibrium analysis

Using a global dynamic general equilibrium model with foreign direct investment (FDI) and technology capital, this paper finds that the EU–China Comprehensive Agreement on Investment (CAI) could bring modest but nonnegligible benefits to both sides. Under an illustrative scenario in which the CAI increases the degree of openness to bilateral FDI by 10%, the EU's FDI to China could rise by a factor of 3–4 and China's FDI to the EU by a factor of 3. These would generate a gain in the steady-state gross national product (GNP) of 0.23% for China and 0.73% for the EU. The cumulative household welfare gain in the present value term is equivalent to 0.36% and 0.13% of GNP annually for China and the EU, respectively.

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来源期刊

Asian Economic Journal ECONOMICS-

CiteScore

1.50

自引率

7.70%

发文量

期刊介绍： The Asian Economic Journal provides detailed coverage of a wide range of topics in economics relating to East Asia, including investigation of current research, international comparisons and country studies. It is a forum for debate amongst theorists, practitioners and researchers and publishes high-quality theoretical, empirical and policy orientated contributions. The Asian Economic Journal facilitates the exchange of information among researchers on a world-wide basis and offers a unique opportunity for economists to keep abreast of research on economics pertaining to East Asia.