在政策波动与金融冲击波之间:经济政策不确定性对高波动国家金融稳定性的非对称影响

IF 6.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS
Jie Wu , Zeeshan Rasool , Sajid Ali , Raima Nazar
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在当今瞬息万变的全球经济中,经济政策的不确定性已成为金融稳定的重要决定因素。随着金融市场的日益复杂和相互关联,经济政策的任何波动或不确定性都会产生深远的影响。正在进行的研究分析了经济政策不确定性对十个经济政策不确定性突出的国家(阿根廷、土耳其、巴西、印度、俄罗斯、巴基斯坦、哥伦比亚、印度尼西亚、南非和菲律宾)金融稳定性的影响。之前的研究利用面板数据技术来研究经济政策不确定性与金融稳定性之间的联系。然而,这些研究往往没有考虑到并非所有国家在这方面都表现出相同程度的联系。相反,本研究采用了一种独特的方法,即 "量化对量化",来剖析各个国家内部的关系。这种方法既能站在全球的角度进行详尽分析,又能针对每个国家的具体情况进行量身定制的前瞻性分析。研究结果表明,经济政策的不确定性会在数据分布的不同部分降低金融稳定性。此外,研究结果还强调了这种关系在不同国家的不同不对称程度。这些发现强调了政策制定者审慎考虑和细致处理与经济政策不确定性和金融稳定性相关的政策的重要性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Between policy swings and financial shockwaves: Asymmetric impact of economic policy uncertainty on financial stability in high-volatility nations

In today's rapidly changing global economy, economic policy uncertainty has become a significant determinant of financial stability. With the increasing complexity and interconnectedness of financial markets, any fluctuations or uncertainties in economic policy can have far-reaching consequences. Ongoing research analyzes the impact of economic policy uncertainty on financial stability in the ten selected nations distinguished by heightened economic policy uncertainty (Argentina, Turkey, Brazil, India, Russia, Pakistan, Colombia, Indonesia, South Africa, and the Philippines). Preceding research has utilized panel data techniques to scrutinize the tie between economic policy uncertainty and financial stability. However, these investigations often failed to account for the fact that not all countries exhibit the same level of connection in this regard. Conversely, this research employs a distinctive approach, ‘Quantile-on-Quantile', to dissect the relationship within individual countries. This approach grants an exhaustive worldwide standpoint and customized foresight specific to each nation. The results indicate that economic policy uncertainty reduces financial stability within distinct sections of the data distribution. In addition, the outcomes emphasize the diverse levels of asymmetry characterizing this relationship across various nations. These findings underscore the significance of policymakers' prudent consideration and meticulous handling of policies related to economic policy uncertainty and financial stability.

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来源期刊
Socio-economic Planning Sciences
Socio-economic Planning Sciences OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE-
CiteScore
9.40
自引率
13.10%
发文量
294
审稿时长
58 days
期刊介绍: Studies directed toward the more effective utilization of existing resources, e.g. mathematical programming models of health care delivery systems with relevance to more effective program design; systems analysis of fire outbreaks and its relevance to the location of fire stations; statistical analysis of the efficiency of a developing country economy or industry. Studies relating to the interaction of various segments of society and technology, e.g. the effects of government health policies on the utilization and design of hospital facilities; the relationship between housing density and the demands on public transportation or other service facilities: patterns and implications of urban development and air or water pollution. Studies devoted to the anticipations of and response to future needs for social, health and other human services, e.g. the relationship between industrial growth and the development of educational resources in affected areas; investigation of future demands for material and child health resources in a developing country; design of effective recycling in an urban setting.
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