{"title":"时间风险下的贴现偏好","authors":"Marzia De Donno , Mario Menegatti","doi":"10.1016/j.jmateco.2024.103020","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper examines the linkages between different aspects of a decision maker’s attitude towards risk in the presence of time risk. Our results suggest that certain combinations of aspects of preferences towards risk are incoherent, supporting the idea that preferences exhibit risk-seeking, prudent, intemperate and antimixed risk-averse discounting, at least starting from a certain time horizon. Consequently, we observe that, unlike the case of risky outcome, in the presence of risky time, a decision maker usually prefers “combining good with good” rather than “combining good with bad”. We extend our analysis considering the implications of our findings on the decision maker’s attitude towards changes in risk of different degrees and uncertainty in the variance. Lastly, applications to saving for delayed expenditures and to investments under delayed risks are provided.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":50145,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Mathematical Economics","volume":"113 ","pages":"Article 103020"},"PeriodicalIF":1.0000,"publicationDate":"2024-07-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Preferences on discounting under time risk\",\"authors\":\"Marzia De Donno , Mario Menegatti\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.jmateco.2024.103020\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><p>This paper examines the linkages between different aspects of a decision maker’s attitude towards risk in the presence of time risk. Our results suggest that certain combinations of aspects of preferences towards risk are incoherent, supporting the idea that preferences exhibit risk-seeking, prudent, intemperate and antimixed risk-averse discounting, at least starting from a certain time horizon. Consequently, we observe that, unlike the case of risky outcome, in the presence of risky time, a decision maker usually prefers “combining good with good” rather than “combining good with bad”. We extend our analysis considering the implications of our findings on the decision maker’s attitude towards changes in risk of different degrees and uncertainty in the variance. Lastly, applications to saving for delayed expenditures and to investments under delayed risks are provided.</p></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":50145,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of Mathematical Economics\",\"volume\":\"113 \",\"pages\":\"Article 103020\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-07-04\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of Mathematical Economics\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304406824000806\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"ECONOMICS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Mathematical Economics","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304406824000806","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
This paper examines the linkages between different aspects of a decision maker’s attitude towards risk in the presence of time risk. Our results suggest that certain combinations of aspects of preferences towards risk are incoherent, supporting the idea that preferences exhibit risk-seeking, prudent, intemperate and antimixed risk-averse discounting, at least starting from a certain time horizon. Consequently, we observe that, unlike the case of risky outcome, in the presence of risky time, a decision maker usually prefers “combining good with good” rather than “combining good with bad”. We extend our analysis considering the implications of our findings on the decision maker’s attitude towards changes in risk of different degrees and uncertainty in the variance. Lastly, applications to saving for delayed expenditures and to investments under delayed risks are provided.
期刊介绍:
The primary objective of the Journal is to provide a forum for work in economic theory which expresses economic ideas using formal mathematical reasoning. For work to add to this primary objective, it is not sufficient that the mathematical reasoning be new and correct. The work must have real economic content. The economic ideas must be interesting and important. These ideas may pertain to any field of economics or any school of economic thought.