时间风险下的贴现偏好

IF 1 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS
Marzia De Donno , Mario Menegatti
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文研究了在时间风险存在的情况下,决策者对风险态度的不同方面之间的联系。我们的研究结果表明,风险偏好的某些方面的组合是不一致的,这支持了这样一种观点,即至少从某个时间跨度开始,风险偏好会表现出寻求风险、谨慎、无节制和反混合的风险规避贴现。因此,我们观察到,与结果有风险的情况不同,在时间有风险的情况下,决策者通常倾向于 "好坏结合",而不是 "好坏结合"。我们将进一步分析我们的发现对决策者对待不同程度风险变化和方差不确定性的态度的影响。最后,我们还提供了对延迟支出储蓄和延迟风险下投资的应用。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Preferences on discounting under time risk

This paper examines the linkages between different aspects of a decision maker’s attitude towards risk in the presence of time risk. Our results suggest that certain combinations of aspects of preferences towards risk are incoherent, supporting the idea that preferences exhibit risk-seeking, prudent, intemperate and antimixed risk-averse discounting, at least starting from a certain time horizon. Consequently, we observe that, unlike the case of risky outcome, in the presence of risky time, a decision maker usually prefers “combining good with good” rather than “combining good with bad”. We extend our analysis considering the implications of our findings on the decision maker’s attitude towards changes in risk of different degrees and uncertainty in the variance. Lastly, applications to saving for delayed expenditures and to investments under delayed risks are provided.

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来源期刊
Journal of Mathematical Economics
Journal of Mathematical Economics 管理科学-数学跨学科应用
CiteScore
1.70
自引率
7.70%
发文量
73
审稿时长
12.5 weeks
期刊介绍: The primary objective of the Journal is to provide a forum for work in economic theory which expresses economic ideas using formal mathematical reasoning. For work to add to this primary objective, it is not sufficient that the mathematical reasoning be new and correct. The work must have real economic content. The economic ideas must be interesting and important. These ideas may pertain to any field of economics or any school of economic thought.
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