Mitral annular plane systolic excursion (MAPSE) as a predictor of atrial fibrillation development after coronary artery bypass surgery.

Objective: To predict the possibility of postoperative atrial fibrillation (AF) with mitral annular plane systolic excursion (MAPSE) measurement, which is a cheap, reproducible echocardiographic method and to monitor these patients more closely and to evaluate them more effectively postoperatively.

Material and methods: 247 patients scheduled for coronary artery bypass surgery were evaluated and 200 patients were included in the study.The enrolled patients were classified into the two groups according to the occurrence of postoperative AF or maintained sinus rhythm after coronary artery bypass surgery (normal sinus rhythm [NSR] group vs. AF group).The clinical and demographic data of all the patients were recorded on admission. Two-dimensional transthoracic echocardiography (TTE) was performed prior to elective surgery.

Results: Postoperative new onset AF occurred in 37 (18.5%) patients. In the multivariate logistic regression analysis carried out after the formation of the model based on the parameters related to AF development, the relationships with white blood cell count, LAd and MAPSE were observed to be prevalent.When MAPSE, which is a parameter used to predict the development of postoperative atrial fibrillation, was compared in the ROC analysis, the area under the curve was found to be 0.831, 95% CI lower-95% CI upper (0.761-0.901) (p<0.001).The distinguishing MAPSE value in predicting postoperative atrial fibrillation development was found to be 11.6 (sensitivity: 90%, specificity: 81%).

Conclusions: We showed that MAPSE could play a role in determining postoperative atrial fibrillation development after coronary artery bypass surgery (Tab. 2, Fig. 2, Ref. 28).