Analysis and Modelling of the Predictive Value of PCT, PLR and NLR for Ureteric Sepsis after Ureteral Stone Surgery: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

Objective: This study aimed to analyse the value of procalcitonin (PCT), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) in predicting postoperative ureteral stone complications of urogenic sepsis. The production of a clinical prediction model could provide additional direction to reduce the likelihood of postoperative urogenital sepsis.

Methods: The clinical data of 520 patients with ureteral stones who underwent surgical treatment from January 2022, to September 2023, in the hospital were retrospectively analysed. The patients were divided into urogenic sepsis group (n = 42) and non-urogenic sepsis group (n = 478) in accordance with the occurrence of urogenic sepsis in the postoperative period. The peripheral blood PCT, PLR and NLR levels were collected within 24 h postoperatively in the two groups. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was employed to evaluate the predictive value of PCT, PLR and NLR levels for postoperative urogenital sepsis in patients with ureteral stones.

Results: Logistic regression analysis showed that PCT (odds ratio (OR) = 4.25, 95% CI: 1.85-9.78), PLR (OR = 4.00, 95% CI: 1.78-9.05) and NLR (OR = 2.29, 95% CI: 1.05-5.01) were risk factors for postoperative complication sepsis in patients with ureteral stones (p < 0.05). The ROC curves showed that the areas under the curve of PCT, PLR and NLR levels alone and in combination for predicting urogenic sepsis complications after emergency ureteral stone surgery were 0.683, 0.692, 0.611 and 0.799, respectively.

Conclusions: Urogenic sepsis leads to increased serum PCT, NLR and PLR levels in patients undergoing surgical treatment for ureteral stones. Physicians should pay close attention to these indices to provide further theoretical support for reducing postoperative urogenic sepsis.