{"title":"利用 PEDL 有效表征断裂介质:基于深度学习的数据同化方法","authors":"Tongchao Nan, Jiangjiang Zhang, Yifan Xie, Chenglong Cao, Jichun Wu, Chunhui Lu","doi":"10.1029/2023wr036673","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Geological formations with fractures are frequently encountered in various research fields. Accurately characterizing these fractured media is of paramount importance when it comes to tasks that demand precise predictions of liquid flow and solute transport within them. Since directly measuring fractured media poses inherent challenges, data assimilation (DA) techniques are typically employed to derive inverse estimates of media properties using observable state variables. Nonetheless, the considerable difficulties arising from the strong heterogeneity and non-Gaussian nature of fractured media have diminished the effectiveness of existing DA methods. In this study, we formulate a novel DA approach known as parameter estimator with deep learning (PEDL) that harnesses the capabilities of DL to capture nonlinear relationships and extract non-Gaussian features. To evaluate PEDL's performance, we conduct three case studies, comprising two numerical cases and one real-world case. In these cases, we systematically compare PEDL with three widely used DA methods: ensemble smoother with multiple DA (ESMDA), iterative local updating ES (ILUES), and ES with DL-based update (ESDL). Notably, in the problems characterized by highly non-Gaussian features, ESMDA and ILUES produce significantly divergent results. Conversely, employing the DL-based update, ESDL demonstrates improved performance. However, its estimation uncertainty remains high, potentially attributable to ESDL's updating mechanism. Comprehensive analyses confirm PEDL's validity and adaptability across various ensemble sizes and DL model architectures. Moreover, even in scenarios where structural difference exists between the accurate reference model and the simplified forecast model, PEDL adeptly identifies the primary characteristics of fracture networks.","PeriodicalId":23799,"journal":{"name":"Water Resources Research","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.6000,"publicationDate":"2024-07-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Effective Characterization of Fractured Media With PEDL: A Deep Learning-Based Data Assimilation Approach\",\"authors\":\"Tongchao Nan, Jiangjiang Zhang, Yifan Xie, Chenglong Cao, Jichun Wu, Chunhui Lu\",\"doi\":\"10.1029/2023wr036673\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Geological formations with fractures are frequently encountered in various research fields. Accurately characterizing these fractured media is of paramount importance when it comes to tasks that demand precise predictions of liquid flow and solute transport within them. Since directly measuring fractured media poses inherent challenges, data assimilation (DA) techniques are typically employed to derive inverse estimates of media properties using observable state variables. Nonetheless, the considerable difficulties arising from the strong heterogeneity and non-Gaussian nature of fractured media have diminished the effectiveness of existing DA methods. In this study, we formulate a novel DA approach known as parameter estimator with deep learning (PEDL) that harnesses the capabilities of DL to capture nonlinear relationships and extract non-Gaussian features. To evaluate PEDL's performance, we conduct three case studies, comprising two numerical cases and one real-world case. In these cases, we systematically compare PEDL with three widely used DA methods: ensemble smoother with multiple DA (ESMDA), iterative local updating ES (ILUES), and ES with DL-based update (ESDL). Notably, in the problems characterized by highly non-Gaussian features, ESMDA and ILUES produce significantly divergent results. Conversely, employing the DL-based update, ESDL demonstrates improved performance. However, its estimation uncertainty remains high, potentially attributable to ESDL's updating mechanism. Comprehensive analyses confirm PEDL's validity and adaptability across various ensemble sizes and DL model architectures. 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引用次数: 0
摘要
在各种研究领域中,经常会遇到带有裂缝的地质构造。当需要精确预测裂缝中的液体流动和溶质传输时,准确描述这些裂缝介质的特征至关重要。由于直接测量断裂介质本身就存在挑战,因此通常采用数据同化(DA)技术,利用可观测的状态变量对介质属性进行反向估算。然而,由于断裂介质的强异质性和非高斯性所带来的巨大困难,降低了现有数据同化方法的有效性。在本研究中,我们提出了一种名为 "深度学习参数估计器"(PEDL)的新型数据分析方法,该方法利用了深度学习捕捉非线性关系和提取非高斯特征的能力。为了评估 PEDL 的性能,我们进行了三个案例研究,包括两个数值案例和一个真实世界案例。在这些案例中,我们系统地比较了 PEDL 和三种广泛使用的 DA 方法:具有多重 DA 的集合平滑器 (ESMDA)、迭代局部更新 ES (ILUES) 和基于 DL 更新的 ES (ESDL)。值得注意的是,在高度非高斯特征的问题中,ESMDA 和 ILUES 产生了明显不同的结果。相反,采用基于 DL 的更新后,ESDL 的性能有所提高。然而,ESDL的估计不确定性仍然很高,这可能与ESDL的更新机制有关。综合分析证实了 PEDL 在各种集合规模和 DL 模型架构下的有效性和适应性。此外,即使在精确参考模型和简化预测模型之间存在结构差异的情况下,PEDL 也能熟练识别断裂网络的主要特征。
Effective Characterization of Fractured Media With PEDL: A Deep Learning-Based Data Assimilation Approach
Geological formations with fractures are frequently encountered in various research fields. Accurately characterizing these fractured media is of paramount importance when it comes to tasks that demand precise predictions of liquid flow and solute transport within them. Since directly measuring fractured media poses inherent challenges, data assimilation (DA) techniques are typically employed to derive inverse estimates of media properties using observable state variables. Nonetheless, the considerable difficulties arising from the strong heterogeneity and non-Gaussian nature of fractured media have diminished the effectiveness of existing DA methods. In this study, we formulate a novel DA approach known as parameter estimator with deep learning (PEDL) that harnesses the capabilities of DL to capture nonlinear relationships and extract non-Gaussian features. To evaluate PEDL's performance, we conduct three case studies, comprising two numerical cases and one real-world case. In these cases, we systematically compare PEDL with three widely used DA methods: ensemble smoother with multiple DA (ESMDA), iterative local updating ES (ILUES), and ES with DL-based update (ESDL). Notably, in the problems characterized by highly non-Gaussian features, ESMDA and ILUES produce significantly divergent results. Conversely, employing the DL-based update, ESDL demonstrates improved performance. However, its estimation uncertainty remains high, potentially attributable to ESDL's updating mechanism. Comprehensive analyses confirm PEDL's validity and adaptability across various ensemble sizes and DL model architectures. Moreover, even in scenarios where structural difference exists between the accurate reference model and the simplified forecast model, PEDL adeptly identifies the primary characteristics of fracture networks.
期刊介绍:
Water Resources Research (WRR) is an interdisciplinary journal that focuses on hydrology and water resources. It publishes original research in the natural and social sciences of water. It emphasizes the role of water in the Earth system, including physical, chemical, biological, and ecological processes in water resources research and management, including social, policy, and public health implications. It encompasses observational, experimental, theoretical, analytical, numerical, and data-driven approaches that advance the science of water and its management. Submissions are evaluated for their novelty, accuracy, significance, and broader implications of the findings.