{"title":"基于 Kőszegi-Rabin 期望的模型和风险分配任务,用于激发高阶风险偏好","authors":"Konstantinos Georgalos , Ivan Paya , David Peel","doi":"10.1016/j.jebo.2024.06.033","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper examines the predictions of expectations-based reference-dependent models for risk-apportionment tasks that elicit higher-order risk attitudes. We consider some of the most commonly used specifications of Kőszegi and Rabin (2006, 2007) and disappointment aversion models. Our analysis reveals that higher order risky choices exhibited by decision makers defined by those model specifications depend on whether risks to be apportioned in these tasks are symmetric or asymmetric, whether they include small probability outcomes, and on the level of loss aversion. We highlight that some of the predicted choice behaviour in the risk-apportionment tasks differs from the ones in alternative models of decision under risk. We employ experimental data to examine whether choice patterns in the risk apportionment tasks are in line with the predictions of the model specifications described here. We find that only a small proportion of them are consistent with those predictions.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48409,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.3000,"publicationDate":"2024-07-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0167268124002518/pdfft?md5=710f2e42b81839ac612452effb987f3f&pid=1-s2.0-S0167268124002518-main.pdf","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"The Kőszegi–Rabin expectations-based model and risk-apportionment tasks for elicitation of higher order risk preferences\",\"authors\":\"Konstantinos Georgalos , Ivan Paya , David Peel\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.jebo.2024.06.033\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><p>This paper examines the predictions of expectations-based reference-dependent models for risk-apportionment tasks that elicit higher-order risk attitudes. We consider some of the most commonly used specifications of Kőszegi and Rabin (2006, 2007) and disappointment aversion models. Our analysis reveals that higher order risky choices exhibited by decision makers defined by those model specifications depend on whether risks to be apportioned in these tasks are symmetric or asymmetric, whether they include small probability outcomes, and on the level of loss aversion. We highlight that some of the predicted choice behaviour in the risk-apportionment tasks differs from the ones in alternative models of decision under risk. We employ experimental data to examine whether choice patterns in the risk apportionment tasks are in line with the predictions of the model specifications described here. We find that only a small proportion of them are consistent with those predictions.</p></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":48409,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":2.3000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-07-05\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0167268124002518/pdfft?md5=710f2e42b81839ac612452effb987f3f&pid=1-s2.0-S0167268124002518-main.pdf\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0167268124002518\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"ECONOMICS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0167268124002518","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
The Kőszegi–Rabin expectations-based model and risk-apportionment tasks for elicitation of higher order risk preferences
This paper examines the predictions of expectations-based reference-dependent models for risk-apportionment tasks that elicit higher-order risk attitudes. We consider some of the most commonly used specifications of Kőszegi and Rabin (2006, 2007) and disappointment aversion models. Our analysis reveals that higher order risky choices exhibited by decision makers defined by those model specifications depend on whether risks to be apportioned in these tasks are symmetric or asymmetric, whether they include small probability outcomes, and on the level of loss aversion. We highlight that some of the predicted choice behaviour in the risk-apportionment tasks differs from the ones in alternative models of decision under risk. We employ experimental data to examine whether choice patterns in the risk apportionment tasks are in line with the predictions of the model specifications described here. We find that only a small proportion of them are consistent with those predictions.
期刊介绍:
The Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization is devoted to theoretical and empirical research concerning economic decision, organization and behavior and to economic change in all its aspects. Its specific purposes are to foster an improved understanding of how human cognitive, computational and informational characteristics influence the working of economic organizations and market economies and how an economy structural features lead to various types of micro and macro behavior, to changing patterns of development and to institutional evolution. Research with these purposes that explore the interrelations of economics with other disciplines such as biology, psychology, law, anthropology, sociology and mathematics is particularly welcome.