混合方法:解决贝叶斯网络结构学习中变量排序的影响

IF 2.3 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY
Minglan Li, Yueqin Hu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

近年来,机器学习的发展为理论研究引入了新的分析方法,其中之一就是贝叶斯网络--一种非常适合模拟复杂的非确定系统的概率图形模型。最近的一项研究表明,从数据中读取变量的顺序会影响贝叶斯网络的结构(Kitson 和 Constantinou 在 The impact of variable ordering on Bayesian Network Structure Learning, 2022. arXiv preprint arXiv:2206.08952)。然而,在实证研究中,数据集中的变量排序往往是任意的,导致结果不可靠。为了解决这个问题,本研究提出了一种混合方法,将理论驱动和数据驱动相结合,以减轻变量排序对贝叶斯网络结构学习的影响。本研究利用一项预测高中生抑郁和攻击行为的实证研究对所提出的方法进行了说明。结果表明,所获得的贝叶斯网络结构对变量排序具有鲁棒性,并可从理论上进行解释。抑郁和攻击行为网络结构的共性和特殊性都符合理论预期,为混合方法的有效性提供了实证证据。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

A Hybrid Method: Resolving the Impact of Variable Ordering in Bayesian Network Structure Learning

A Hybrid Method: Resolving the Impact of Variable Ordering in Bayesian Network Structure Learning

In recent years, the development of machine learning has introduced new analytical methods to theoretical research, one of which is Bayesian network—a probabilistic graphical model well-suited for modelling complex non-deterministic systems. A recent study has revealed that the order in which variables are read from data can impact the structure of a Bayesian network (Kitson and Constantinou in The impact of variable ordering on Bayesian Network Structure Learning, 2022. arXiv preprint arXiv:2206.08952). However, in empirical studies, the variable order in a dataset is often arbitrary, leading to unreliable results. To address this issue, this study proposed a hybrid method that combined theory-driven and data-driven approaches to mitigate the impact of variable ordering on the learning of Bayesian network structures. The proposed method was illustrated using an empirical study predicting depression and aggressive behavior in high school students. The results demonstrated that the obtained Bayesian network structure is robust to variable orders and theoretically interpretable. The commonalities and specificities in the network structure of depression and aggressive behavior are both in line with theorical expectations, providing empirical evidence for the validity of the hybrid method.

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来源期刊
Fudan Journal of the Humanities and Social Sciences
Fudan Journal of the Humanities and Social Sciences SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY-
CiteScore
3.90
自引率
10.00%
发文量
502
期刊介绍: Fudan Journal of the Humanities and Social Sciences (FJHSS) is a peer-reviewed academic journal that publishes research papers across all academic disciplines in the humanities and social sciences. The Journal aims to promote multidisciplinary and interdisciplinary studies, bridge diverse communities of the humanities and social sciences in the world, provide a platform of academic exchange for scholars and readers from all countries and all regions, promote intellectual development in China’s humanities and social sciences, and encourage original, theoretical, and empirical research into new areas, new issues, and new subject matters. Coverage in FJHSS emphasizes the combination of a “local” focus (e.g., a country- or region-specific perspective) with a “global” concern, and engages in the international scholarly dialogue by offering comparative or global analyses and discussions from multidisciplinary or interdisciplinary perspectives. The journal features special topics, special issues, and original articles of general interest in the disciplines of humanities and social sciences. The journal also invites leading scholars as guest editors to organize special issues or special topics devoted to certain important themes, subject matters, and research agendas in the humanities and social sciences.
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