资源-环境-经济协调发展的综合评估模型

IF 5.4 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS
Hao Li, Pengru Fan, Yukun Wang, Yang Lu, Feng Chen, Haotian Zhang, Bin Zhang, Bo Wang, Zhaohua Wang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

资源-环境-经济协调发展(REECD)对于实现全球可持续发展目标(SDGs)非常重要。综合评估模型(IAM)被广泛应用于研究 REECD 相关问题和设计政策或技术发展路径。因此,本研究从关联机制、分类、理论基础和适用性等方面对 REECD 相关综合评估模型的现有文献进行了综述,并提出了改进模型的可能扩展维度。综合管理模型可分为自上而下型和自下而上型,前者主要基于可计算的一般均衡和优化理论,后者一般基于工程-技术和生态-环境分析。自上而下和自下而上相结合的综合环境管理模型越来越多地被用于评估政策实施、技术渗透和行为改变的影响,以提高决策的准确性。同时,REECD 的综合环境模拟模型需要进一步发展,以提高其在分析高分辨率和高频率的资源开发和污染物排放清单方面的适用性。现有的 IAMs 还应包括关键资源消耗,如重金属和战略金属。由于 1.5 度和碳中和气候目标下的碳排放空间更加严格,REECD 的关联机制在未来将发生重大变化,我们需要在模型中描述这些变化。此外,研究人员和开发人员应更加关注针对发展中经济体和新兴经济体的模型改进:可持续发展 > 新兴经济体 可持续发展 > 目标 人类与社会层面 > 能源与气候正义
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Integrated assessment models for resource–environment–economy coordinated development
Resources–environment–economy coordinated development (REECD) is important for global sustainable development goals (SDGs). Integrated assessment model (IAM) is widely applied to investigate REECD‐related issues and design policy or technology development pathways. Accordingly, this study reviews existing literatures on the REECD related IAMs in terms of nexus mechanism, classification, theoretical basis and applicability, and puts forward possible expansion dimensions for improving the models. IAMs could be categorized into top‐down ones mainly based on computable general equilibrium and optimization theories, and bottom‐up ones generally based on engineering‐technological and ecology‐environmental analysis. Top‐down and bottom‐up combined IAMs are increasingly employed to evaluate the impacts of policy implementation, technological penetration and behavior modification, in order to improve the accuracy for decision‐making. Meanwhile, IAMs for REECD are need to be further developed to increase its applicability for analyzing high‐resolution and high‐frequency inventories of resource development and pollutant emissions. Existing IAMs should also embrace key resources consumption such as heavy and strategic metals. Due to tighter carbon emission space under 1.5‐degree and carbon‐neutral climate targets, the nexus mechanism of REECD would change significantly in future, which we need to characterize these variations in the models. Furthermore, researchers and developers should pay more attention to model improvement towards the developing and emerging economies.This article is categorized under: Sustainable Development > Emerging Economies Sustainable Development > Goals Human and Social Dimensions > Energy and Climate Justice
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来源期刊
CiteScore
11.70
自引率
3.30%
发文量
42
期刊介绍: Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Energy and Environmentis a new type of review journal covering all aspects of energy technology, security and environmental impact. Energy is one of the most critical resources for the welfare and prosperity of society. It also causes adverse environmental and societal effects, notably climate change which is the severest global problem in the modern age. Finding satisfactory solutions to the challenges ahead will need a linking of energy technology innovations, security, energy poverty, and environmental and climate impacts. The broad scope of energy issues demands collaboration between different disciplines of science and technology, and strong interaction between engineering, physical and life scientists, economists, sociologists and policy-makers.
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