建立沃尔巴克氏体热敏性模型的限制

IF 29.6 1区地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2024-06-28 DOI:10.1038/s41558-024-02062-7

Perran A. Ross, Ary A. Hoffmann

引用次数: 0

摘要

来源于 Vásquez 等人的文章，自然气候变化 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-023-01746-w (2023)使用 wMel 菌株的沃尔巴克氏体释放计划正在许多国家抑制登革热的发病率。Vásquez 等人1 利用模型预测了气温升高和热浪对野生蚊子种群被 wMel 携带者替代的影响，得出结论认为，wMel 替代对 2060 年前的气候变化（包括异常现象）具有抵抗力，但持续的热浪仍可能威胁释放计划。在此，我们认为他们从实验室实验中推断出来的假设可能不切实际，而且过于简单化，因为他们只关注温度。我们敦促在预测具体的登革热控制计划可能取得成功时要谨慎，并强调模型必须考虑环境对沃尔巴克氏菌及其蚊子宿主的全部影响，实验和模型参数直接与当前和未来的微环境条件相关联。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Nature Climate Change ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES-METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES

CiteScore

40.30

自引率

1.60%

发文量

267

审稿时长

4-8 weeks

期刊介绍： Nature Climate Change is dedicated to addressing the scientific challenge of understanding Earth's changing climate and its societal implications. As a monthly journal, it publishes significant and cutting-edge research on the nature, causes, and impacts of global climate change, as well as its implications for the economy, policy, and the world at large. The journal publishes original research spanning the natural and social sciences, synthesizing interdisciplinary research to provide a comprehensive understanding of climate change. It upholds the high standards set by all Nature-branded journals, ensuring top-tier original research through a fair and rigorous review process, broad readership access, high standards of copy editing and production, rapid publication, and independence from academic societies and other vested interests. Nature Climate Change serves as a platform for discussion among experts, publishing opinion, analysis, and review articles. It also features Research Highlights to highlight important developments in the field and original reporting from renowned science journalists in the form of feature articles. Topics covered in the journal include adaptation, atmospheric science, ecology, economics, energy, impacts and vulnerability, mitigation, oceanography, policy, sociology, and sustainability, among others.