The association between transferrin saturation and all-cause mortality in chronic kidney disease: findings from Korean Cohort Study for Outcome in Patients with Chronic Kidney Disease.

Background: Transferrin saturation (TSAT) has been used as an indicator of iron deficiency. However, there is no consensus regarding its optimal range for patient with chronic kidney disease (CKD). We aimed to analyze the effect of TSAT on the prognosis of patients with non-dialysis CKD (NDCKD).

Methods: From 2011 to 2016, 2157 NDCKD patients with baseline TSAT measurements were followed for 10 years. Patients were divided into three groups based on baseline TSAT values: <25%, ≥25% and <45%, and ≥45%. All-cause mortality and 4-point major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) were analyzed using multivariable Cox regression analysis. Other iron biomarkers and mortality were also analyzed.

Results: During a mean follow-up of 7.1 ± 2.9 years, 182 of a total of 2,157 patients (8.4%) died. Compared with the TSAT ≥25% and <45% group, the TSAT <25% group showed significantly increased all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 1.44; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.02-2.03; p = 0.04). The occurrence of 4-point MACE was significantly increased in univariable analysis in the TSAT <25% group (HR, 1.48; 95% CI, 1.02-2.15; p = 0.04), but it was not significant in the multivariable analysis (HR, 1.38; 95% CI, 0.89-2.15; p = 0.15). Tertile comparisons of the iron-to-log-ferritin ratio showed increased mortality in the first tertile group.

Conclusion: TSAT <25% is an independent risk factor for all-cause mortality in patients with NDCKD and care should be taken to prevent TSAT values of <25%. Other indicators, such as serum iron and iron-to-log-ferritin ratio, may also be used to assess iron deficiency.