Urinary soluble CD163 is useful as “liquid biopsy” marker in lupus nephritis at both diagnosis and follow-up to predict impending flares

Lupus nephritis (LN) diagnosis and follow-up requires noninvasive biomarkers. Therefore, the added value of coupling the urinary soluble (s)CD163/creatinuria ratio with serological markers was evaluated in a real-world clinical practice. To this end, a monocentric and retrospective study was conducted in 139 SLE patients with biopsy-proven nephritis having an active LN (LN-A, n = 63 with a positive SLEDAI-renal score) or inactive (n = 76), as well as 98 non-renal SLE patients. The urinary sCD163/creatinuria ratio outperformed serological markers for predicting LN-A (AUC>0.972; p < 10⁻⁴ with a 100 % specificity threshold fixed at 320 ng/mmol), and for monitoring renal activity allowing prediction of impending flares and remissions in follow-up (AUC = 0.789, p < 10⁻⁴). LN-A patients with an elevated spot proteinuria/creatinuria ratio (p = 8 × 10⁻⁶) and sCD163/creatinuria ratio (p = 10⁻³) were at risk for developing end-stage kidney disease but sCD163/creatinuria ratio cannot substitute kidney biopsy to discriminate LN-A from other glomerulonephritis. Among serological markers (n = 14), anti-dsDNA and anti-C1q antibodies (Abs) (AUC>0.750 versus non-LN patients, and AUC>0.640 versus LN-IR patients) best predicted LN-A, and higher levels were retrieved in class III/IV proliferative LN-A. In multivariate logistic regression analysis, the urinary sCD163/creatinuria ratio remained the only statistically significant biomarker to predict LN-A (p < 0.001). In conclusion, and as compared to classical serological markers, the urinary sCD163/creatinuria ratio provides an additional parameter for monitoring LN patients.