Syndecan-1 as a prognostic biomarker in COVID-19 patients: a retrospective study of a Japanese cohort.

Background: The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), has had a profound global impact, with millions of confirmed cases and deaths worldwide. While most cases are mild, a subset progresses to severe respiratory complications and death, with factors such as thromboembolism, age, and underlying health conditions increasing the risk. Vascular endothelial damage has been implicated in severe outcomes, but specific biomarkers remain elusive. This study investigated syndecan-1 (SDC-1), a marker of endothelial damage, as a potential prognostic factor for COVID-19, focusing on the Japanese population, which is known for its aging demographics and high prevalence of comorbidities.

Methods: A multicenter retrospective study of COVID-19 patients in Fukushima Prefecture in Japan who were admitted between February 2020 and August 2021 was conducted. SDC-1 levels were measured along with other clinical and laboratory parameters. Outcomes including thrombosis, 28-day survival, and disease severity were assessed, and disease severity was categorized according to established guidelines.

Results: SDC-1 levels were correlated with disease severity. Patients who died from COVID-19 had greater SDC-1 levels than survivors, and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) analysis suggested the potential of the SDC-1 level as a predictor of mortality (AUC 0.714). K‒M analysis also revealed a significant difference in survival based on an SDC-1 cutoff of 10.65 ng/mL.

Discussion: This study suggested that SDC-1 may serve as a valuable biomarker for assessing COVID-19 severity and predicting mortality within 28 days of hospitalization, particularly in the Japanese population. However, further investigations are required to assess longitudinal changes in SDC-1 levels, validate its predictive value for long-term survival, and consider its applicability to new viral variants.

Conclusions: SDC-1 is emerging as a potential biomarker for assessing the severity and life expectancy of COVID-19 in the Japanese population, offering promise for improved risk stratification and patient management in the ongoing fight against the virus.