为变化的未来做规划:确定巴西卡廷加地区小型哺乳动物保护的优先区域

IF 4.6 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION
Anna Ludmilla da Costa-Pinto, Heini Kujala, Ricardo S. Bovendorp, Ana Cláudia Malhado, Richard J. Ladle
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引用次数: 0

摘要

人类使用土地和气候变化是影响生物多样性的两大主要威胁,尤其是在干旱/半干旱地区。保护这些生态系统中的物种免受这些威胁的最有效方法是划定保护区(PAs)。然而,这些保护区必须具有成本效益,并考虑到未来的气候变化。我们确定了当前和未来气候变化下保护卡廷加小哺乳动物物种的优先区域。我们使用生态位模型和 Zonation 空间优先排序软件,确定了在当前气候和土地利用情景下,以及在考虑未来气候变化的乐观和悲观情景下,保护小型哺乳动物物种的前 30% 优先区域。我们还评估了当前保护区对这些优先区域的覆盖程度,利用层次掩码分析和物种平均分布覆盖率评估,确定了进一步改善保护的方法。已确定的优先区域中约有 13% 与当前的保护区重叠,而考虑到整体保护区的扩大规划将优先区域的覆盖率提高到 18% 以上,并捕获 72% 以上的物种适宜分布区。巴西保护区系统对这些优先区域的支持不足,需要进一步保护。一个具有成本效益的方案是将一些可持续利用保护区升级为限制性更强的保护区。保护这些优先区域有助于维护生态系统的长期功能,防止生物多样性在不断变化的世界中丧失。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Planning for a future of changes: Prioritising areas for conservation of small mammals in the Caatinga, Brazil

Planning for a future of changes: Prioritising areas for conservation of small mammals in the Caatinga, Brazil

Aim

Human land-use and climate change are two of the main threats affecting biodiversity, especially in arid/semiarid regions. The most effective way to protect the species in these ecosystems against these threats is through the delimitation of protected areas (PAs). However, such PAs need to be targeted cost-efficiently and consider future climate change. We identify priority areas to preserve small mammal species in the Caatinga in the present and in a future of climate changes. We also evaluate how well these priority areas are protected by currently PAs and identify ways forward to improve their protection.

Location

The Caatinga Dry Forest, Northeast Brazil.

Methods

We use ecological niche models and Zonation spatial prioritisation software to identify the top 30% priority areas to preserve small mammal species under current climate and land use scenarios, besides considering optimistic and pessimistic scenarios of future climate change. We also evaluate how much these priority areas are covered by current PAs, identify ways to further improve their protection using hierarchical mask analysis, and by evaluating species mean distribution coverage.

Results

The consequences of climate change will not hugely impact the distribution of priority areas for species conservation in the Caatinga. Around 13% of the identified priority areas overlap with current PAs, and planning the expansion of PAs considering integral protection areas increases the coverage of priority areas to more than 18% and captures more than 72% of species suitable area.

Main Conclusions

Our prioritisations take into account climate change and provide low risk if conducted as a ‘no-regrets’ conservation action. These priority areas are poorly supported by the Brazilian PA system, and need of further protection. One cost-effective option could be to upgrade some sustainable use PAs into more restrictive ones. Securing these priority areas helps preserve the long-term ecosystem functioning and to prevent biodiversity loss in a changing world.

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来源期刊
Diversity and Distributions
Diversity and Distributions 环境科学-生态学
CiteScore
8.90
自引率
4.30%
发文量
195
审稿时长
8-16 weeks
期刊介绍: Diversity and Distributions is a journal of conservation biogeography. We publish papers that deal with the application of biogeographical principles, theories, and analyses (being those concerned with the distributional dynamics of taxa and assemblages) to problems concerning the conservation of biodiversity. We no longer consider papers the sole aim of which is to describe or analyze patterns of biodiversity or to elucidate processes that generate biodiversity.
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