印度尼西亚证券交易所(IDX)镍矿业上市公司镍销售额的时间序列预测

eCo-Fin Pub Date : 2024-06-10 DOI:10.32877/ef.v6i2.1110
Farah Ayu Mufida, Nurafni Eltivia, N. I. Riwajanti
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究旨在借助 Microsoft Excel 使用时间序列预测法分析镍矿销售预测,然后比较在 IDX(印度尼西亚证券交易所)上市的镍矿公司之间的模式。本研究采用预测法进行定量描述性研究。使用的数据是二手数据,即 2015-2023 年 IDX(印度尼西亚证券交易所)上市的镍矿业公司财务报表中包含的销售数据。共有 43 个数据。研究结果显示,PT Aneka Tambang Tbk 公司镍矿销售额预测最高的是 2024 年第 4 季度,为 16.4 万亿印尼盾,预测最低的是 2024 年第 1 季度,为 3.4 万亿印尼盾。另一方面,PT Vale Indonesia Tbk 的最高镍销售额预测为 2024 年第 4 季度的 19.3 万亿印尼盾,最低预测为 2024 年第 1 季度的 4.3 万亿印尼盾。两家公司在预测图上形成的模式趋于一致。销售趋势和预测趋势也相同,都有增长,显示出良好的业务前景和镍销售。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Time Series Forecasting of Nickel Sales in Nickel Mining Companies Listed on Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX)
This research aims to analyze nickel sales forecasting using time series forecasting with the help of Microsoft Excel and then compare the pattern between Nickel Mining Companies listed on IDX (Indonesia Stock Exchange). This research uses a quantitative descriptive study with a forecasting method. The data used is secondary data, which is sales data contained in the financial statements of nickel mining companies listed on the IDX (Indonesia Stock Exchange) from 2015-2023. There are a total of 43 data. The results of this study show that the highest sales forecast from PT Aneka Tambang Tbk's nickel sales is in quarter 4 of 2024 of IDR 16,4 trillion, and the lowest forecast is in quarter 1 of 2024 of IDR 3,4 trillion. On the other hand, the highest nickel sales forecast from PT Vale Indonesia Tbk is in the 4th quarter of 2024 of IDR 19,3 trillion, and the lowest forecast is in the 1st quarter of 2024 of IDR 4,3 trillion. The patterns formed on the forecasting plot graphs of the two companies tend to be the same. The sales trend and forecasting trend are also the same, there is an increase and show good business prospects and nickel sales.
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