大结局

Filipe Falcão, Bárbara Sousa, Pedro Moreira, Carlos Jalali, Patrício Costa
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引用次数: 0

摘要

摘要:2019 年葡萄牙大选中葡萄牙两大政党领导人之间的电视辩论吸引了约 270 万观众。辩论是竞选活动的核心,让候选人展示自己的提案。辩论在竞选活动中的重要性反映了辩论在改变选民观点方面可能产生的影响。由于评判候选人的标准越来越多地依赖于非政治特征,如个性特征,我们研究了辩论对选民对候选人的热情和能力的判断及其投票意向的影响。我们采用了主体内的前测/后测设计,在葡萄牙两大政党领导人安东尼奥-科斯塔(社会党)和鲁伊-里奥(社会民主党)就葡萄牙 2019 年立法选举进行辩论前后对参与者进行了监测。为了分离出辩论的影响,我们采用了一个全面的统计管道。有证据表明,辩论影响了人们对两位候选人的热情和能力的感知。本研究为有关辩论的文献做出了贡献,并支持了辩论可能会改变选民认知和态度的观点。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Grand Finale
Abstract: The 2019 televised debate between the leaders of the two main Portuguese parties for the general elections in Portugal drew approximately 2.7 million viewers. Debates constitute a centrepiece of campaigns, allowing candidates to showcase their proposals. The importance of debates in election campaigns reflects their possible influence in changing voters’ perspectives. As the standards for judging candidates increasingly rely on non-political characteristics such as personality traits, we examine the effects of debates on voters’ judgments of the warmth and competence of candidates and their voting intentions. We employed a within subject’s pretest/postest design to monitor participants before and after the debate between the leaders of the two main parties in Portugal, António Costa (Socialist Party, PS) and Rui Rio (Social-Democrat Party, PSD) for the Portuguese 2019 legislative elections. A comprehensive statistical pipeline was implemented to isolate the effects of the debate. Evidence suggesting that the debate influenced the perceived warmth and competence of both candidates was found. This study contributes to the literature on debates and supports the claim that they may shift voters’ perceptions and attitudes.
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