金融和经济危机(2008/2009 年)之后,先进民主国家的经济干预会卷土重来吗?

Governance Pub Date : 2024-06-14 DOI:10.1111/gove.12880
Reimut Zohlnhöfer, Jan Jathe, Fabian Engler
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引用次数: 0

摘要

金融和经济危机(2008/2009 年)是否导致先进民主国家永久性地转向更多的经济干预?本文从三个相关理论角度进行了探讨。首先,危机可能导致所有政府加大干预力度,无论其党派构成如何。第二,选民的需求可能因危机而转向更多干预,从而再次促使所有政府扩大经济干预。第三,经济问题的日益突出可能导致党派之间在经济政策上的分歧加剧,这本应导致只有左翼政府才会扩大经济干预。我们提供了一个新的经济干预指数的数据,该指数显示,在危机刚爆发时,政府加强了经济干预,但危机过后,政府又恢复了自由化。同样,统计分析显示,党派差异在严重危机期间消失,但在危机之后又重新出现。因此,金融和经济危机并没有改变发达民主国家的经济决策。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A return of economic intervention in advanced democracies after the financial and economic crisis (2008/2009)?
Did the financial and economic crisis (2008/2009) induce a permanent shift to more economic intervention in the advanced democracies? Three relevant theoretical perspectives are considered. First, the crisis could have led all governments to intervene more, irrespective of their partisan composition. Second, voter demand could have shifted towards more intervention due to the crisis, again inducing all governments to expand economic intervention. Third, increasing salience of economic issues could have led to an accentuation of partisan differences in economic policy which should have led to an expansion of economic intervention under left governments only. We present data from a new index of economic intervention, which show that governments increased economic intervention during the immediate crisis but returned to liberalization afterward. Similarly, statistical analyses show that partisan differences disappear during the acute crisis but return thereafter. Hence, the financial and economic crisis did not constitute a game‐changer in economic policymaking in advanced democracies.
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