尼日利亚高原州北部地区选择适当病媒管理战略的多标准决策分析技术比较评价

Nanlok Henry Nmimlang, Gilles Dusserre, Sandrine Bayle, Kivanc Ertugay, Stefan Janaqi
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引用次数: 0

摘要

要准确评估疟疾传播动态的复杂性,就必须选择适当的多标准决策分析(MCDA)技术,以便对风险因素参数进行透彻分析,并将决策问题结构化为明确界定的结果。利用 MULTIMOORA 和 MOOSRA 的参考排序,对 TOPSIS、PROMETHEE II、MAUT 和 COPRAS 等多标准决策方法进行了比较研究和分析,以评估这些技术结果的一致性,并根据蚊子繁殖栖息地的脆弱性和研究区域的疟疾传播风险对风险因素进行排序。结果表明,TOPSIS 对备选方案的排序与参考排序相似,而 PROMETHEE II、MAUT 和 COPRAS 根据加权斯皮尔曼相关系数和加权总和排序相似系数分析,排序相同。通过这项比较研究对研究地区的风险因素进行分析的一致性程度表明,TOPSIS 技术适合应用于疟疾流行病学,以确定在高原州北部地区进行病媒管理的适当干预措施。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A Comparative Evaluation of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis Techniques for Selecting the Appropriate Vector Management Strategy in the Northern Zone of Plateau State, Nigeria
Accurate assessment of the complexity of malaria transmission dynamics requires the selection of appropriate Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) techniques that enable thorough analysis of risk factor parameters and structuring of decision problems into well-defined outcomes. A comparative study and analysis of multi-criteria decision-making methods such as TOPSIS, PROMETHEE II, MAUT and COPRAS was carried out using the reference rankings of MULTIMOORA and MOOSRA to evaluate the consistency of the results of these techniques and to rank the risk factors according to the vulnerability of mosquito breeding habitats and the risk of malaria transmission in the study area. The results indicate that TOPSIS ranked the alternative similarly to the reference ranking, while PROMETHEE II, MAUT, and COPRAS were ranked equally according to the weighted Spearman correlation coefficient and the weighted sum rank similarity coefficient analysis. The degree of consistency with which the risk factors in the study area were analyzed through this comparative study shows that the TOPSIS technique is suitable for its application in malaria epidemiology to determine the appropriate intervention measure for vector management in the northern zone of up to certain Plateau State.
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