{"title":"基于物理的 TRIGRS 模型与随机森林耦合在降雨引发的山体滑坡易感性评估中的应用","authors":"Liu Yang, Yulong Cui, Chong Xu, Siyuan Ma","doi":"10.1007/s10346-024-02276-y","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>Most data-driven landslide-susceptibility assessment models heavily rely on statistical analyses based on geological and environmental similarity principles. These models often struggle to establish connections with landslide destruction processes and mechanisms effectively. In response to this challenge, this study introduces a hybrid approach that combines the transient rainfall infiltration, regional slope-stability physics–based model (TRIGRS) and the random forest (RF) model. Initially, to calculate the safety coefficients of the study area, the TRIGRS model was employed, and appropriate non-landslide samples were selected based on these coefficients. Subsequently, to enable learning and fitting of the nonlinear relationships between sample points and geological environmental factors, historical landslide data and safety coefficient-filtered non-landslide point data were input into the RF model, ultimately generating landslide probability values that represent the magnitude of landslide occurrences. The coupled model demonstrated excellent predictive performance using the landslides induced by the 2019 “Lekima” typhoon in Yongjia, Zhejiang Province, as a case study. The results indicated that the evaluation effect of the TRIGRS and RF coupled model was satisfactory, achieving an accuracy (ACC) rate of 77.6% and an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.873. Furthermore, the ACC and AUC of the TRIGRS and RF coupled model increased by 8.22% and 9.20%, respectively, compared with those of the traditional buffering sampling method. Therefore, the TRIGRS and RF coupled model better evaluates regional landslide susceptibility than the traditional buffering sampling method.</p>","PeriodicalId":17938,"journal":{"name":"Landslides","volume":"312 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.8000,"publicationDate":"2024-06-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Application of coupling physics–based model TRIGRS with random forest in rainfall-induced landslide-susceptibility assessment\",\"authors\":\"Liu Yang, Yulong Cui, Chong Xu, Siyuan Ma\",\"doi\":\"10.1007/s10346-024-02276-y\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p>Most data-driven landslide-susceptibility assessment models heavily rely on statistical analyses based on geological and environmental similarity principles. These models often struggle to establish connections with landslide destruction processes and mechanisms effectively. In response to this challenge, this study introduces a hybrid approach that combines the transient rainfall infiltration, regional slope-stability physics–based model (TRIGRS) and the random forest (RF) model. Initially, to calculate the safety coefficients of the study area, the TRIGRS model was employed, and appropriate non-landslide samples were selected based on these coefficients. Subsequently, to enable learning and fitting of the nonlinear relationships between sample points and geological environmental factors, historical landslide data and safety coefficient-filtered non-landslide point data were input into the RF model, ultimately generating landslide probability values that represent the magnitude of landslide occurrences. The coupled model demonstrated excellent predictive performance using the landslides induced by the 2019 “Lekima” typhoon in Yongjia, Zhejiang Province, as a case study. The results indicated that the evaluation effect of the TRIGRS and RF coupled model was satisfactory, achieving an accuracy (ACC) rate of 77.6% and an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.873. Furthermore, the ACC and AUC of the TRIGRS and RF coupled model increased by 8.22% and 9.20%, respectively, compared with those of the traditional buffering sampling method. Therefore, the TRIGRS and RF coupled model better evaluates regional landslide susceptibility than the traditional buffering sampling method.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":17938,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Landslides\",\"volume\":\"312 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":5.8000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-06-04\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Landslides\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"89\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10346-024-02276-y\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"工程技术\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"ENGINEERING, GEOLOGICAL\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Landslides","FirstCategoryId":"89","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10346-024-02276-y","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ENGINEERING, GEOLOGICAL","Score":null,"Total":0}
Application of coupling physics–based model TRIGRS with random forest in rainfall-induced landslide-susceptibility assessment
Most data-driven landslide-susceptibility assessment models heavily rely on statistical analyses based on geological and environmental similarity principles. These models often struggle to establish connections with landslide destruction processes and mechanisms effectively. In response to this challenge, this study introduces a hybrid approach that combines the transient rainfall infiltration, regional slope-stability physics–based model (TRIGRS) and the random forest (RF) model. Initially, to calculate the safety coefficients of the study area, the TRIGRS model was employed, and appropriate non-landslide samples were selected based on these coefficients. Subsequently, to enable learning and fitting of the nonlinear relationships between sample points and geological environmental factors, historical landslide data and safety coefficient-filtered non-landslide point data were input into the RF model, ultimately generating landslide probability values that represent the magnitude of landslide occurrences. The coupled model demonstrated excellent predictive performance using the landslides induced by the 2019 “Lekima” typhoon in Yongjia, Zhejiang Province, as a case study. The results indicated that the evaluation effect of the TRIGRS and RF coupled model was satisfactory, achieving an accuracy (ACC) rate of 77.6% and an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.873. Furthermore, the ACC and AUC of the TRIGRS and RF coupled model increased by 8.22% and 9.20%, respectively, compared with those of the traditional buffering sampling method. Therefore, the TRIGRS and RF coupled model better evaluates regional landslide susceptibility than the traditional buffering sampling method.
期刊介绍:
Landslides are gravitational mass movements of rock, debris or earth. They may occur in conjunction with other major natural disasters such as floods, earthquakes and volcanic eruptions. Expanding urbanization and changing land-use practices have increased the incidence of landslide disasters. Landslides as catastrophic events include human injury, loss of life and economic devastation and are studied as part of the fields of earth, water and engineering sciences. The aim of the journal Landslides is to be the common platform for the publication of integrated research on landslide processes, hazards, risk analysis, mitigation, and the protection of our cultural heritage and the environment. The journal publishes research papers, news of recent landslide events and information on the activities of the International Consortium on Landslides.
- Landslide dynamics, mechanisms and processes
- Landslide risk evaluation: hazard assessment, hazard mapping, and vulnerability assessment
- Geological, Geotechnical, Hydrological and Geophysical modeling
- Effects of meteorological, hydrological and global climatic change factors
- Monitoring including remote sensing and other non-invasive systems
- New technology, expert and intelligent systems
- Application of GIS techniques
- Rock slides, rock falls, debris flows, earth flows, and lateral spreads
- Large-scale landslides, lahars and pyroclastic flows in volcanic zones
- Marine and reservoir related landslides
- Landslide related tsunamis and seiches
- Landslide disasters in urban areas and along critical infrastructure
- Landslides and natural resources
- Land development and land-use practices
- Landslide remedial measures / prevention works
- Temporal and spatial prediction of landslides
- Early warning and evacuation
- Global landslide database