{"title":"波动率风险溢价、好波动率和坏波动率：上证 50 ETF 期权的证据","authors":"Zhe Li , Jiashuang Shen , Weilin Xiao","doi":"10.1016/j.najef.2024.102206","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper studies the impact of volatility risk premium of SSE 50 ETF options on the price volatility of the underlying securities. After dividing options into different attributes including different types, market conditions and moneyness, we find that options contain implicit volatility information for the underlying securities and volatility risk premium has a significantly positive impact on the realized volatility. We further discuss the effect of options with different attributes on good and bad volatilities. The empirical results show that volatility risk premium has significant influence on both of them. In particular, the impact of volatility risk premium on good volatility is significantly stronger than that of bad volatility. In addition, we investigate the out-of-sample forecast performance of the volatility risk premium on realized volatility. The results show that the implied information content of deep out-of-the-money options has the highest prediction accuracy for weekly good realized volatility.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":47831,"journal":{"name":"North American Journal of Economics and Finance","volume":"74 ","pages":"Article 102206"},"PeriodicalIF":3.8000,"publicationDate":"2024-05-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Volatility risk premium, good volatility and bad volatility: Evidence from SSE 50 ETF options\",\"authors\":\"Zhe Li , Jiashuang Shen , Weilin Xiao\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.najef.2024.102206\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><p>This paper studies the impact of volatility risk premium of SSE 50 ETF options on the price volatility of the underlying securities. After dividing options into different attributes including different types, market conditions and moneyness, we find that options contain implicit volatility information for the underlying securities and volatility risk premium has a significantly positive impact on the realized volatility. We further discuss the effect of options with different attributes on good and bad volatilities. The empirical results show that volatility risk premium has significant influence on both of them. In particular, the impact of volatility risk premium on good volatility is significantly stronger than that of bad volatility. In addition, we investigate the out-of-sample forecast performance of the volatility risk premium on realized volatility. The results show that the implied information content of deep out-of-the-money options has the highest prediction accuracy for weekly good realized volatility.</p></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":47831,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"North American Journal of Economics and Finance\",\"volume\":\"74 \",\"pages\":\"Article 102206\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":3.8000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-05-31\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"North American Journal of Economics and Finance\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1062940824001311\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"BUSINESS, FINANCE\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"North American Journal of Economics and Finance","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1062940824001311","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"BUSINESS, FINANCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
Volatility risk premium, good volatility and bad volatility: Evidence from SSE 50 ETF options
This paper studies the impact of volatility risk premium of SSE 50 ETF options on the price volatility of the underlying securities. After dividing options into different attributes including different types, market conditions and moneyness, we find that options contain implicit volatility information for the underlying securities and volatility risk premium has a significantly positive impact on the realized volatility. We further discuss the effect of options with different attributes on good and bad volatilities. The empirical results show that volatility risk premium has significant influence on both of them. In particular, the impact of volatility risk premium on good volatility is significantly stronger than that of bad volatility. In addition, we investigate the out-of-sample forecast performance of the volatility risk premium on realized volatility. The results show that the implied information content of deep out-of-the-money options has the highest prediction accuracy for weekly good realized volatility.
期刊介绍：
The focus of the North-American Journal of Economics and Finance is on the economics of integration of goods, services, financial markets, at both regional and global levels with the role of economic policy in that process playing an important role. Both theoretical and empirical papers are welcome. Empirical and policy-related papers that rely on data and the experiences of countries outside North America are also welcome. Papers should offer concrete lessons about the ongoing process of globalization, or policy implications about how governments, domestic or international institutions, can improve the coordination of their activities. Empirical analysis should be capable of replication. Authors of accepted papers will be encouraged to supply data and computer programs.
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