2007-2018 年阿根廷潘帕斯大田作物种植的生产、社会经济和环境绩效变化

M. Victoria Bitar , Silvina M. Cabrini , Hernán A. Urcola
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究利用农场层面的数据,分析了阿根廷潘帕斯地区农业生产的生产、环境和社会经济方面随时间推移发生的演变,填补了研究领域的重要空白。研究人员开展了一项纵向研究,以考察 2007-2018 年间农业系统发生的变化。研究评估了 30 个农场的变化,考察了每个农场在结构和管理方面的变化,以及在生产、经济和环境绩效方面的变化。研究采用了典型相关分析法,将绩效变化与研究初期农场的特征联系起来。结果表明,在继续经营的农场中,土地使用权和雇用的劳动力数量没有显著变化。在此期间,农场主的平均年龄明显增加了 7 岁,预期增长的农场主比例也有所下降,从 70% 降至 42%。典型相关分析表明,在分析期间,规模较小的农场在期初拥有较多工人,但更有可能扩大耕种面积。研究结果还表明,生产者更替频繁,规模较大的农场接替了规模较小的农场。在此期间,主要作物的产量和直接生产成本分别增加了 16% 和 48%。主要作物的环境指标喜忧参半:土壤有机碳投入量增加了 12%,而环境影响商数平均下降了 6%(谷物),但大豆的环境影响商数增加了 40%,养分失衡现象加剧。这项研究的意义在于,它采用了一种综合方法来分析耕作制度随时间的变化。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Changes in productive, socio-economic, and environmental performance of field crop farming in the Argentine Pampas, 2007–2018

Changes in productive, socio-economic, and environmental performance of field crop farming in the Argentine Pampas, 2007–2018

This study fills important gaps in research by analyzing the evolution over time of productive, environmental, and socio-economic aspects of agricultural production in the Argentine Pampas, utilizing farm-level data. A longitudinal study was conducted to examine the changes that occurred in farming systems during the period 2007–2018. The study evaluated the changes in 30 farms, examining modifications in the structure and management of each farm, as well as in productive, economic, and environmental performance. Canonical correlation analysis was used to relate the changes that occurred in performance to farms' characteristics at the beginning of the study period. The results indicated that, among the farms that stayed in business, there were no significant changes in land tenure and the amount of labor employed. There was a significant increase in the average age of farmers by 7 years, along with a decrease in the percentage of farmers expecting growth, dropping from 70% to 42% over the period. Canonical correlation analysis revealed that smaller farms, with a higher number of workers at the beginning of the period, were more likely to expand their farming area during the analysis period. The findings also indicate a substantial turnover of producers, with leaving farms being succeeded by larger-scale operations. The yields of the main crops and the direct production costs increased by 16% and 48% respectively, during the period. The environmental indicators for the main crops present a mixed picture: soil organic carbon input increased by 12%, while environmental impact quotient decreased on average, by 6% for cereals but increased by 40% for soybeans, and nutrient imbalances rose. The significance of this study resides in its application of a comprehensive approach to analyze the transformation of farming systems over time.

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