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These methods include two semi‐parametric methods (based on the Taylor series expansion), two versions of the Whittle method (utilising either the computationally feasible expression or Paxson's approximation of the spectral density), a time‐domain maximum likelihood (ML) method (employing a recursive approach for its likelihood calculation), and a change‐of‐frequency method. Special attention is paid to highly anti‐persistent processes with close to zero, which are of empirical relevance to financial volatility modelling. Considering the trade‐off between statistical and computational efficiency, we recommend using either the Whittle ML method based on Paxson's approximation or the time‐domain ML method. We model the log realized volatility dynamics of 40 financial assets in the US market from 2012 to 2019 with fBm. 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引用次数: 0
摘要
分数布朗运动(fBm)过程受分数参数 ,是一个连续时间高斯过程,其增量为分数高斯噪声(fGn)。本文首先为 fGn 的谱密度提供了一个计算上可行的表达式。通过该表达式,我们可以评估一系列近似方法的准确性,包括截断法、帕克森近似法以及近零频率的泰勒级数展开。接下来,我们进行了广泛的蒙特卡罗研究,比较了 fGn 规范下其他估计方法的有限样本性能和计算成本。这些方法包括两种半参数方法(基于泰勒级数展开)、两种版本的惠特尔方法(利用计算上可行的表达式或帕克森对频谱密度的近似)、一种时域最大似然(ML)方法(采用递归方法计算似然)和一种频率变化方法。特别关注的是接近零的高度反持久过程,这与金融波动性建模的经验相关。考虑到统计和计算效率之间的权衡,我们建议使用基于帕克森近似的惠特尔 ML 方法或时域 ML 方法。我们用 fBm 建立了美国市场 40 种金融资产从 2012 年到 2019 年的对数已实现波动率动态模型。虽然所有估计方法都表明波动率是粗糙的,但不同估计方法隐含的粗糙程度差别很大,这突出了了解各种估计方法有限样本性能的重要性。
Fractional gaussian noise: Spectral density and estimation methods
The fractional Brownian motion (fBm) process, governed by a fractional parameter , is a continuous‐time Gaussian process with its increment being the fractional Gaussian noise (fGn). This article first provides a computationally feasible expression for the spectral density of fGn. This expression enables us to assess the accuracy of a range of approximation methods, including the truncation method, Paxson's approximation, and the Taylor series expansion at the near‐zero frequency. Next, we conduct an extensive Monte Carlo study comparing the finite sample performance and computational cost of alternative estimation methods for under the fGn specification. These methods include two semi‐parametric methods (based on the Taylor series expansion), two versions of the Whittle method (utilising either the computationally feasible expression or Paxson's approximation of the spectral density), a time‐domain maximum likelihood (ML) method (employing a recursive approach for its likelihood calculation), and a change‐of‐frequency method. Special attention is paid to highly anti‐persistent processes with close to zero, which are of empirical relevance to financial volatility modelling. Considering the trade‐off between statistical and computational efficiency, we recommend using either the Whittle ML method based on Paxson's approximation or the time‐domain ML method. We model the log realized volatility dynamics of 40 financial assets in the US market from 2012 to 2019 with fBm. Although all estimation methods suggest rough volatility, the implied degree of roughness varies substantially with the estimation methods, highlighting the importance of understanding the finite sample performance of various estimation methods.
期刊介绍:
Accounts of Chemical Research presents short, concise and critical articles offering easy-to-read overviews of basic research and applications in all areas of chemistry and biochemistry. These short reviews focus on research from the author’s own laboratory and are designed to teach the reader about a research project. In addition, Accounts of Chemical Research publishes commentaries that give an informed opinion on a current research problem. Special Issues online are devoted to a single topic of unusual activity and significance.
Accounts of Chemical Research replaces the traditional article abstract with an article "Conspectus." These entries synopsize the research affording the reader a closer look at the content and significance of an article. Through this provision of a more detailed description of the article contents, the Conspectus enhances the article's discoverability by search engines and the exposure for the research.