汇款对教育成果的影响:尼泊尔的经验证据

Ram Prasad Gajurel, Anil Niroula
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摘要

汇款是灌溉尼泊尔经济的宝藏。由于移民人数不断增加,尼泊尔的人均汇款也在增加。然而,问题在于如何将汇款用于提高教育水平。在此背景下,本研究探讨了汇款对尼泊尔教育成果的影响。研究采用了自回归分布滞后(ARDL)估计、格兰杰因果关系、预测误差方差分解(FEVD)技术和脉冲响应函数(IRFs),时间跨度为 1981 年至 2021 年。总体研究结果显示,汇款对尼泊尔的教育成果产生了积极影响。从短期来看,汇款对中学教育至关重要;从长期来看,汇款对尼泊尔高等教育有显著影响。外向型教育发展指数证实,汇款可能是尼泊尔教育成果的必然预测因素。格兰杰因果关系也发现了汇款与教育成果之间的单向因果关系。因此,政策制定者和利益攸关方应注重将汇款用于资助教育和生产部门,以加快人均国内生产总值的增长,并在尼泊尔经济中产生人口红利。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Impact of Remittance on Educational Outcomes: Empirical Evidence from Nepal
The remittances are the treasure for irrigating Nepal's economy. Because emigration is increasing, per capita remittance is also increasing in Nepal. However, the question is signaling in its utilization for educational attainment. In this context, the study examines the impact of remittance on educational outcomes in Nepal. The study applied autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) estimations, Granger causality, forecast error variance decomposition (FEVD) technique, and impulse response functions (IRFs), with time-series data spanning from 1981 to 2021. The overall findings revealed that remittance had a positive impact on educational outcomes in Nepal. In the short run, remittance was found to be crucial for secondary schooling; in the long run, remittance had a significant effect on tertiary schooling in Nepal. The FEVD confirmed that remittance might be the inevitable predictor of educational outcomes in Nepal. The Granger causality also found a unidirectional causality from remittance to educational outcomes. The policymakers and stakeholders, therefore, should focus on funneling remittance toward financing education as well as a productive sector to accelerate per capita GDP and on cropping the demographic dividend in the Nepali economy.      
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