布基纳法索中北部科西莫罗市土地利用演变分析:2050 年预测模型

Ibrahim Ouedraogo, Amadou Zan, Joachim Bonkoungou, I. Yanogo
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究以布基纳法索科西莫罗镇为背景,考察了 1991 年至 2021 年间土地使用的演变情况,并对 2050 年的情况进行了预测。利用卫星数据和地理空间处理方法,对过去和未来土地利用方案的预测趋势进行了分析。结果显示,近几十年来,人为活动大幅增加,农业用地增加了 25.69%,城市面积也在扩大。然而,对 2050 年的乐观展望表明,人为活动将减少,自然区域将增加,林木稀树草原将增加 5.67%,灌木和草地稀树草原将增加 78.37%。这些发现强调了重新思考土地管理政策以促进更可持续发展的重要性。可持续农业实践、综合城市规划和保护自然生态系统似乎是协调人类需求与环境保护的可行途径。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Evolution Analysis of the Land use in the Municipality of Korsimoro, North-Central Burkina Faso: Predictive Modelling for 2050
In the context of the commune of Korsimoro in Burkina Faso, this study looked at the evolution of land use between 1991 and 2021, with projections to 2050. Using satellite data and geospatial processing methods, an analysis of past and projected trends in future land-use scenarios was conducted. The results revealed a significant increase in anthropogenic activities in recent decades, with a 25.69 per cent increase in land dedicated to agriculture and the expansion of urban areas. However, an optimistic outlook for 2050 suggests a regression in anthropogenic activities and an increase in natural areas, with 5.67 per cent increase for wooded savannahs and 78.37 per cent increase for shrub and grassy savannahs, respectively. These findings underscore the importance of rethinking land management policies in order to promote more sustainable development. Sustainable agricultural practices, integrated urban planning and the protection of natural ecosystems appear to be promising avenues for reconciling human needs with environmental preservation.
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