关于在俄罗斯北极地区建立原油基准

IF 0.7 Q3 ECONOMICS
P. B. Katyukha, N. A. Flegontov
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引用次数: 0

摘要

文章分析了以摩尔曼斯克为价格基础、以北极混合物 "东方石油 "为基础建立俄罗斯基准原油的前景。这项研究的意义在于,定价体系的透明度对于维持俄罗斯宏观经济形势的稳定具有重要意义,而北极地区的石油和天然气潜力对于俄罗斯的经济发展具有主导作用。作者强调了现代定价系统危机的主要迹象,并指出在对俄罗斯实施反制裁的情况下,欧洲现货中心的定价不再能反映俄罗斯石油市场的真实情况。因此,有必要建立一个国家定价系统,在东方石油项目 "黑金 "占主导地位的原油混合基础上制定俄罗斯基准,该基准具有很高的预期流动性。摩尔曼斯克港因其独特的技术特点和北方海路的物流潜力,被建议作为价格基础和价格枢纽。文章提出了在 SPIMEX 上推出相应期货合约的四阶段模型,这将有助于改善俄罗斯能源资源的交易所交易系统,并提高俄罗斯北极基准原油在全球石油市场的知名度。最后,作者强调,建立新基准和推出期货将确保俄罗斯石油出口的稳定性、透明度和独立性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
On establishing a benchmark crude in the Russian Arctic
The article analyzes the prospects for establishing Russian benchmark crude based on the arctic blend “Vostok Oil” with a price basis in Murmansk. The relevance of the study is conditioned by the importance of the pricing system’s transparency for maintaining a stable macroeconomic situation in Russia, with a leading role of Artic oil and gas potential for Russian economic development. The authors highlight the main signs of the modern pricing system’s crisis and note that amid the imposed anti-Russian sanctions pricing at European spot hubs can no longer reflect the real situation in the Russian oil market. As a result, there is a need to create a national pricing system by developing the Russian benchmark based on the crude oil blend with the dominance of “black gold” from the Vostok Oil project, which has a high-expected liquidity. The port of Murmansk, being distinguished by unique technical characteristics and access to the logistics potential of the Northern Sea Route, is proposed as a price basis and a price hub. The article presents a four-stage model for launching a corresponding futures contract on SPIMEX, which will help improve the exchange trading system for energy resources in Russia and increase the popularity of the Russian Arctic benchmark crude in the global oil market. In conclusion, the authors underline that the creation of a new benchmark and the launch of futures will ensure stability, transparency and independence of Russian oil exports.
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来源期刊
Voprosy Ekonomiki
Voprosy Ekonomiki ECONOMICS-
CiteScore
1.80
自引率
25.00%
发文量
86
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