将缓解冲突作为适应气候变化的一种手段:政策和发展实践的经验教训

Daniel Abrahams, Kayly Ober
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摘要

在本文中,我们将研究冲突如何导致气候变化脆弱性,并反过来论证缓解冲突可作为适应气候变化的一种手段。我们指出了减缓冲突可增加适应机会的三种主要方式:(a)解决冲突动态问题可增加应对气候风险的机会;(b)对冲突动态的基础分析通常可揭示以气候变化为导向的项目的高价值机会以及应避免的潜在适应不良;以及(c)在适应气候变化的努力中,可利用严重依赖治理的减缓冲突干预措施。这对全球气候变化政策具有多重影响,尤其是当我们考虑到诸如 COP 28 等国际政策讨论所产生的关键气候安全成果时。在本文的最后,我们提出了三条未得到充分研究的、切实可行的研究思路,以解决如何加强受冲突影响地区气候适应能力方面的关键知识空白。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Conflict mitigation as a means of climate change adaptation: Lessons for policy and development practice
In this article, we examine the ways conflict can drive climate change vulnerability and, in turn, argue that conflict mitigation can act as a means of climate change adaptation. We identify three key ways in which conflict mitigation enhances adaptation opportunities: (a) addressing conflict dynamics increases opportunities to address climate risks; (b) grounded analysis of conflict dynamics often reveals high-value opportunities for climate change-oriented programs as well as potential maladaptations to be avoided; and (c) conflict mitigation interventions which rely heavily on governance can be leveraged in climate change adaptation efforts. This has multiple implications for global climate change policy, especially when one considers key climate security outcomes emanating from international policy discussions such as COP 28. We conclude this article by identifying three under-examined—and practical—lines of inquiry that would address key knowledge gaps in how to fortify climate resilience in conflict-affected regions.
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