美联储加息对金融危机的影响 来自新兴市场经济体的证据

Xinru Li
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文旨在运用经济学原理和方法,通过深入分析美联储的五次加息行动及其在新兴市场经济体中的连锁反应,系统研究这一政策调整的经济后果。其中,关注的核心问题是美联储的加息政策是否构成新兴市场金融危机的重要导火索。为了全面揭示这一复杂现象,本文不仅深入分析了美联储加息背后的宏观经济逻辑,还探讨了其在新兴市场经济体中的传导机制,以及这些国家在面对外部冲击时的经济脆弱性。研究结果表明,美联储加息导致新兴国家崩溃似乎不可避免,但我们可以从中得到启示:积极推进国际货币体系改革,支持更多种类货币纳入国际贸易和投资结算体系已成为包括一些西方国家在内的共同选择,同时也需要继续优化国内经济结构,加强综合风险管控能力。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Effect of the Fed Interest Rate Hikes on the Financial Crisis Evidence from Emerging Market Economices
The purpose of this paper is to systematically study the economic consequences of this policy adjustment by analysing in depth the five interest rate hike actions of the Federal Reserve and their chain reactions in emerging market economies, applying economic principles and methods. In particular, the central question of concern is whether the Fed's interest rate hiking policy constitutes an important trigger of the financial crisis in emerging markets. In order to shed light on this complex phenomenon in a comprehensive manner, this paper not only analyses in depth the macroeconomic logic behind the Fed's interest rate hike, but also explores its transmission mechanism in emerging market economies, as well as the economic vulnerability of these countries in the face of external shocks. The results of the study show that the collapse of emerging countries as a result of the Fed's interest rate hikes seems to be inevitable, but we can draw insights from it: actively promoting the reform of the international monetary system and supporting the inclusion of more types of currencies in the international trade and investment settlement system has become a common choice, including for some Western countries, as well as the need to continue to optimise the economic structure of the domestic economy and to strengthen the ability to manage and control the comprehensive risks.
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