校准基于决策的人群行为模型

Jana Vacková, Marek Bukáček
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引用次数: 0

摘要

根据模型类型、应用和个人偏好,校准方法多种多样。虽然没有放之四海而皆准的方法,但统计技术在近几十年来逐渐流行起来。引入的校准概念包括独立的校准事件,以避免只选择几个指标来描述整个系统,以及计算时间随参数数量呈指数增长。这些事件被设计为相互分离,并涵盖由某些模型参数捕捉到的一种行人行为。本文讨论了校准量的设计、获得静态结果所需模拟时间的估算,以及影响结果质量的切比雪夫不等式迭代次数。此外,还使用了假设检验(詹姆斯检验)来比较模型和实验数据。该校准过程可应用于任何行人模型;本文讨论了其在作者基于决策的模型中人群行为阶段的应用。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Calibration of Decision-Based Crowd-Behaviour Model
Various methods of calibration are used depending on the model type, application, and individual preferences. While there is no universally applicable method, statistical techniques became popular in recent decades. Introduced calibration concept consists of separate calibration episodes to avoid choosing only a few metrics to describe the whole system and a high computational time increasing exponentially with the number of parameters. These episodes are designed to be separated from each other and to cover one type of pedestrian behaviour captured by some model parameters. The design of the calibration quantities; estimate of the needed simulation time to get stationary results; and the number of iterations by Chebyshev's inequality influencing the quality of the results are discussed. Furthermore, hypothesis testing (James' test) is used to compare the model and experimental data. This calibration process can be applied for any pedestrian model; this paper deals with its application on the crowd-behaviour phase in the author's decision based model.
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