使用印度糖尿病风险评分对老年人进行糖尿病风险评估:印度老龄化纵向研究的二次分析。

IF 4.3 Q1 ENDOCRINOLOGY & METABOLISM
Saurav Basu , Vansh Maheshwari , Debolina Roy , Mahira Saiyed , Rutul Gokalani
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引用次数: 0

摘要

背景:印度糖尿病风险评分(IDRS)是一种评估个人患 2 型糖尿病(T2DM)概率的简单工具,但其在社区居住的老年人中的适用性还很欠缺。本研究旨在使用印度糖尿病评分法估算无糖尿病史的老年人患 T2DM 的风险及其决定因素,同时评估该评分法对有糖尿病史者的敏感性和特异性:我们分析了印度纵向老龄化研究(LASI)第 1 波(2017-18 年)的横截面数据。考虑到腰围、体力活动、年龄和糖尿病家族史,对年龄≥45岁的个体计算了IDRS。风险分为高风险(≥60)、中度风险(30-50)和低风险(结果:在 64541 人中,7.27%(95 % CI:6.78, 7.80)为低风险,61.80%(95 % CI:60.99, 62.61)为中度风险,30.93%(95 % CI:30.19, 31.67)为 T2DM 高风险。调整后的分析表明,男性、丧偶/离异、城市居民、信仰少数宗教、超重、肥胖和高血压患者患 T2DM 的风险较高。ROC 曲线的 AUC 为 0.67(95 % CI:0.66, 0.67,P 结论:使用 IDRS 风险预测工具进行评估时,印度每 10 位无糖尿病史的老年人中就有 9 位以上具有 T2DM 的中高风险。然而,IDRS 对现有 DM 病例的特异性较低,灵敏度适中,这限制了其作为筛查决策工具的实用性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Risk assessment of diabetes using the Indian Diabetes Risk Score among older adults: Secondary analysis from the Longitudinal Ageing Study in India

Background

The Indian Diabetes Risk Score (IDRS) is a simple tool to assess the probability of an individual having type 2 diabetes (T2DM) but its applicability in community-dwelling older adults is lacking. This study aimed to estimate the risk of T2DM and its determinants among older adults without prior diabetes (DM) using the IDRS, while also assessing its sensitivity and specificity in individuals with a history of diabetes.

Methods

We analyzed cross-sectional data from the Longitudinal Ageing Study in India (LASI) wave-1 (2017-18). IDRS was calculated amongst individuals aged ≥45 years considering waist circumference, physical activity, age and family history of DM. Risk was categorized as high (≥60), moderate (30–50), and low (<30).

Results

Among 64541 individuals, 7.27 % (95 % CI: 6.78, 7.80) were at low risk, 61.80 % (95 % CI: 60.99, 62.61) at moderate risk, and 30.93 % (95 % CI: 30.19, 31.67) at high risk for T2DM. Adjusted analysis showed higher risk of T2DM among men, widowed/divorced, urban residents, minority religions, overweight, obese, and individuals with hypertension. ROC curve yielded an AUC of 0.67 (95 % CI: 0.66, 0.67, P < 0.001). The IDRS cutoff ≥50 had 73.69 % sensitivity and 51.40 % specificity for T2DM detection.

Conclusion

More than 9 in 10 older adults in India without history of DM have high-moderate risk of T2DM when assessed with the IDRS risk-prediction tool. However, the low specificity and moderate sensitivity of IDRS in existing DM cases constraints its practical utility as a decision tool for screening.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
22.90
自引率
2.00%
发文量
248
审稿时长
51 days
期刊介绍: Diabetes and Metabolic Syndrome: Clinical Research and Reviews is the official journal of DiabetesIndia. It aims to provide a global platform for healthcare professionals, diabetes educators, and other stakeholders to submit their research on diabetes care. Types of Publications: Diabetes and Metabolic Syndrome: Clinical Research and Reviews publishes peer-reviewed original articles, reviews, short communications, case reports, letters to the Editor, and expert comments. Reviews and mini-reviews are particularly welcomed for areas within endocrinology undergoing rapid changes.
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