不全是残余混杂:流行病学研究人员和教育工作者的 QBA 呼吁。

IF 5 2区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH
Matthew P Fox, Nedghie Adrien, Maarten van Smeden, Elizabeth Suarez
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在教学、方法开发和研究结果评估中,我们花了大量时间讨论混杂因素。这可能会给人一种印象,认为不加控制的混杂因素是观察流行病学面临的最大问题,而事实上,其他偏倚来源,如选择偏倚、测量误差、数据缺失和零时错位(尤其是当它们都出现在一项研究中时)往往会导致更严重的偏离事实。与我们花在教授如何在数据分析中解决混杂因素的时间相比,我们花在教授模拟混杂因素(和其他偏倚来源)的方法以了解其影响并制定减轻或量化偏倚的计划上的时间相对较少。我们回顾了 Desai 等人的一篇论文,该论文使用模拟方法来量化完全缺失的未测量混杂因素或测量混杂因素替代物的影响。我们利用这篇文章讨论了如何利用模拟偏倚来源来确保我们得出更好、更有效的研究估计结果,并讨论了模拟具有可信偏倚结构的真实数据集来指导数据收集的重要性。如果有一种先进的生命形式存在于我们当前的宇宙之外,他们来到地球的目的是搜索已发表的流行病学文献,以了解流行病学家面临的最大问题是什么,那么他们很快就会发现,出版物的局限性部分将为他们提供所需的全部信息。而他们最有可能得出的结论是,我们面临的最大问题是无法控制的混杂因素。这似乎是我们的一个心病。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Invited commentary: it's not all about residual confounding-a plea for quantitative bias analysis for epidemiologic researchers and educators.

Epidemiologists spend a great deal of time on confounding in our teaching, in our methods development, and in our assessment of study results. This may give the impression that uncontrolled confounding is the biggest problem observational epidemiology faces, when in fact, other sources of bias such as selection bias, measurement error, missing data, and misalignment of zero time may often (especially if they are all present in a single study) lead to a stronger deviation from the truth. Compared with the amount of time we spend teaching how to address confounding in data analysis, we spend relatively little time teaching methods for simulating confounding (and other sources of bias) to learn their impact and develop plans to mitigate or quantify the bias. Here we review the accompanying paper by Desai et al (Am J Epidemiol. 2024;193(11):1600-1608), which uses simulation methods to quantify the impact of an unmeasured confounder when it is completely missing or when a proxy of the confounder is measured. We discuss how we can use simulations of sources of bias to ensure that we generate better and more valid study estimates, and we discuss the importance of simulating realistic datasets with plausible bias structures to guide data collection. This article is part of a Special Collection on Pharmacoepidemiology.

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来源期刊
American journal of epidemiology
American journal of epidemiology 医学-公共卫生、环境卫生与职业卫生
CiteScore
7.40
自引率
4.00%
发文量
221
审稿时长
3-6 weeks
期刊介绍: The American Journal of Epidemiology is the oldest and one of the premier epidemiologic journals devoted to the publication of empirical research findings, opinion pieces, and methodological developments in the field of epidemiologic research. It is a peer-reviewed journal aimed at both fellow epidemiologists and those who use epidemiologic data, including public health workers and clinicians.
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