{"title":"后缩减时期黄金价格与通货膨胀和比特币的关系分析","authors":"Özgür Ergül , Tuba Karakaş","doi":"10.1016/j.bir.2024.04.009","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>We analyze the hedging feature of gold against inflation by analyzing the factors affecting gold prices for the post-2013 period, including the tapering process in the United States. Our results show that especially demand for gold Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) and US 10-year bond rates are effective on gold prices in this period. Inflation has no statistically significant effect on gold prices over the sample period; however, in the subperiod, excluding 2014–2019, inflation has a statistically significant positive impact on gold prices. We conclude that gold does provide a partial hedge against inflation as an investment tool, at least for the recent period. Furthermore, our analysis of Bitcoin's effect on gold prices starting in the second half of 2016 shows no statistically significant relationship.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":46690,"journal":{"name":"Borsa Istanbul Review","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":6.3000,"publicationDate":"2024-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214845024000620/pdfft?md5=8ae817e1a8ab7a2c68833e65f03d54f4&pid=1-s2.0-S2214845024000620-main.pdf","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Analysis of the relationship of gold prices with inflation and bitcoin in the post-tapering period\",\"authors\":\"Özgür Ergül , Tuba Karakaş\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.bir.2024.04.009\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><p>We analyze the hedging feature of gold against inflation by analyzing the factors affecting gold prices for the post-2013 period, including the tapering process in the United States. Our results show that especially demand for gold Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) and US 10-year bond rates are effective on gold prices in this period. Inflation has no statistically significant effect on gold prices over the sample period; however, in the subperiod, excluding 2014–2019, inflation has a statistically significant positive impact on gold prices. We conclude that gold does provide a partial hedge against inflation as an investment tool, at least for the recent period. Furthermore, our analysis of Bitcoin's effect on gold prices starting in the second half of 2016 shows no statistically significant relationship.</p></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":46690,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Borsa Istanbul Review\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":6.3000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-07-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214845024000620/pdfft?md5=8ae817e1a8ab7a2c68833e65f03d54f4&pid=1-s2.0-S2214845024000620-main.pdf\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Borsa Istanbul Review\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214845024000620\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"BUSINESS, FINANCE\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Borsa Istanbul Review","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214845024000620","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"BUSINESS, FINANCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
Analysis of the relationship of gold prices with inflation and bitcoin in the post-tapering period
We analyze the hedging feature of gold against inflation by analyzing the factors affecting gold prices for the post-2013 period, including the tapering process in the United States. Our results show that especially demand for gold Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) and US 10-year bond rates are effective on gold prices in this period. Inflation has no statistically significant effect on gold prices over the sample period; however, in the subperiod, excluding 2014–2019, inflation has a statistically significant positive impact on gold prices. We conclude that gold does provide a partial hedge against inflation as an investment tool, at least for the recent period. Furthermore, our analysis of Bitcoin's effect on gold prices starting in the second half of 2016 shows no statistically significant relationship.
期刊介绍：
Peer Review under the responsibility of Borsa İstanbul Anonim Sirketi. Borsa İstanbul Review provides a scholarly platform for empirical financial studies including but not limited to financial markets and institutions, financial economics, investor behavior, financial centers and market structures, corporate finance, recent economic and financial trends. Micro and macro data applications and comparative studies are welcome. Country coverage includes advanced, emerging and developing economies. In particular, we would like to publish empirical papers with significant policy implications and encourage submissions in the following areas: Research Topics: • Investments and Portfolio Management • Behavioral Finance • Financial Markets and Institutions • Market Microstructure • Islamic Finance • Financial Risk Management • Valuation • Capital Markets Governance • Financial Regulations
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